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Polymarket and Kalshi Turn Midterm Elections Into a Multimillion Dollar Market

✇NYT - Top Stories
By: Stuart A. Thompson and Lauren McCarthy
Betting markets like Polymarket and Kalshi have transformed America’s democracy into a new kind of casino.

© Hilary Swift for The New York Times

David Bensoussan has placed wagers worth over $1.5 million in over a dozen midterm races.
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Four Scenarios for How the Midterms Could Go

✇NYT - Top Stories
By: Nate Cohn
Expectations are cresting for Democrats, and some kind of wave seems likely, but so much will depend on a few close Senate races.

© The New York Times

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What Our New Senate Polls Tell Us About the State of the Midterms

✇NYT - Top Stories
By: Nate Cohn
South Carolina seems like a serious race; Minnesota may not be; and Florida still appears out of reach for Democrats.

© Jillian Vordick/The New York Times

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The Senate Race in Heavily Republican South Carolina is a Tossup, Poll Finds

✇NYT - Top Stories
By: Patricia Mazzei and Ruth Igielnik
Senator Darline Graham, the South Carolina Republican, is struggling to replicate her late brother’s success. Republicans lead in the Florida Senate race and Democrats are up in Minnesota.

© Jillian Vordick/The New York Times

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Can You Trust the Midterm Polls? Three Times Journalists Talk It Out.

✇NYT - Top Stories
By: Patrick Healy · Nate Cohn and William P. Davis
Members of the team behind the Times/Siena Poll on what the data show, how they’ve improved their methodology and what it means to be “right.”
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In Maine, an ‘Oyster Thug’s’ Struggle to Get Over Graham Platner

✇NYT - Top Stories
By: Elizabeth Williamson
A Platner superfan’s reluctance to support the Democrat now running against Senator Susan Collins reflects the party’s challenges navigating left-wing passions.

© Ryan David Brown for The New York Times

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Democrats See a Rare but Fleeting Chance to Shake Up the Senate Map

✇NYT - Top Stories
By: Carl Hulse
Democrats are targeting G.O.P. strongholds that could set them up for new majorities. But if they don’t win those races now, it could be a long time before they have another chance.

© Clayton Steward for The New York Times

Protesters outside of an event for Senator Roger Marshall in Topeka, Kan. Soaring fuel costs and economic struggles have made some Republican senators like Mr. Marshall vulnerable on their home turf.
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Latinos Are Now America’s Most Important Swing Voters

✇NYT - Top Stories
By: Jennifer Medina and Ruth Igielnik
Latinos helped fuel President Trump’s return to the White House. But Democrats have won back the trust of many Hispanic voters over the past two years.

© Michael M. Santiago/Getty Images

President Trump made significant inroads with Latino voters in 2024. This year, they appear to be moving back toward Democrats.
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In Alaska, Some Early Voting Sites in Rural Villages Have Not Yet Opened

✇NYT - Top Stories
By: Anna Griffin and Emily Schwing
“There is no legal excuse” for the failure of 18 polling sites to open for early voting, a state lawmaker said.

© Kerry Tasker/Reuters

Senator Dan Sullivan finished second in the primary to Representative Mary Peltola and has trailed her in polls since.
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A 2028 Presidential Poll Finds Vance, Rubio and Several Democrats in the Mix

✇NYT - Top Stories
By: Reid J. Epstein and Ruth Igielnik
The Democratic presidential primary race appears to be wide open, while JD Vance and Marco Rubio led among Republican voters, a New York Times/Siena survey found.

© Jillian Vordick/The New York Times

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Why Democrats Could Find It Hard to Win the Senate Despite Their Strong Polls

✇NYT - Top Stories
By: Lisa Lerer
Democrats are increasingly optimistic about the midterms. But they are being outspent by Republicans. And they are trying to compete in states that favored President Trump by large margins.

© Julia Demaree Nikhinson/Associated Press

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Most Voters Believe the Midterm Elections Will Be Accurate, Poll Finds

✇NYT - Top Stories
By: Richard Fausset and Ruth Igielnik
But about half expressed concerns that Republicans could try to overturn the results, a New York Times/Siena poll found.

© Allison Robbert/Associated Press

A voters fills out their ballot on the first day of early voting on Thursday in Silver Spring, Md.
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