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Professor Who Inaccurately Predicted Kamala Harris Would Defeat Trump Predicts Democrats Will Win Midterms

The history professor who inaccurately predicted former Vice President Kamala Harris (D) would beat President Donald Trump (R) in 2024 is predicting a major Democrat win in the midterm elections on Tuesday.

The post Professor Who Inaccurately Predicted Kamala Harris Would Defeat Trump Predicts Democrats Will Win Midterms appeared first on Breitbart.

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Erhurman to Turkic states: No obstacles to close relations with Turkish Cypriots

Turkish Cypriot leader Tufan Erhurman on Friday told the leaders of member states of the Organisation of Turkic States there are “no obstacles” to them establishing close relations with the Turkish Cypriots, as he addressed the organisation’s summit in Ankara.

He said that the Turkish Cypriot people have “for many years” been subject to “an unjust isolation which has limited their direct contacts with the international community, their economic and social development, and their integration with the world”.

“However, a nation’s ability to engage with the international community in the fields of culture, art, sports, science, education, and economics is a fundamental issue of human rights which must be considered beyond political agreements,” he said.

To this end, he pointed out that “the Turkish Cypriot people, through their will for a solution demonstrated in 2004 and their constructive stance in subsequent negotiation processes, have repeatedly shown their desire for integration with the world and for a just and lasting solution on the island”.

“Despite this, attempts are being made to prevent our young people from participating in international sports competitions, to prevent cultural events from being held in our country, and to prevent our people from having direct contact with the world,” he said.

He added that “such initiatives negatively impact efforts to build mutual trust and create a favourable environment for a solution on the island”.

Erhurman, Ankara, Turkic states

Developments ‘aligned with EU goals’

On this front, he made reference to a letter he had received from United Nations Secretary-General Antonio Guterres in response to concerns he had raised regarding efforts undertaken by the Greek Cypriot side to bring about the cancellation of a children’s football camp organised by FC Barcelona and a music festival in Kyrenia.

He said that Guterres had described those initiatives as “discouraging”, and that the secretary-general had “emphasised that initiatives hindering the establishment of trust and which lead to the cancellation of international events run contrary to joint efforts”.

Additionally, he referred to a second letter on the same matter he received from the European Commission, which, he said, “reaffirmed the European Union’s 2004 goal of ending the isolation of the Turkish Cypriot people”.

He added that the letter had also “said that initiatives which contribute to the socioeconomic development of the Turkish Cypriots, especially young people, and enable them to establish close relations with the European Union are consistent with the EU’s goals”.

“The common message of these two letters is clear. There is a strong political and legal basis for developing contact, dialogue, and cooperation with the Turkish Cypriot people in all areas, and this basis is confirmed and supported by the UN and the EU. Steps taken in this context will contribute to the creation of an environment of mutual trust and to efforts for a solution,” he said.

As such, he added, “I want it to be known that there are no obstacles to establishing close relation with the Turkish Cypriots in the fields of science, academia, culture, technology, and diplomacy”.

“We can develop joint research programmes between our universities, bring our youth together in academic and cultural exchange projects, and forge stronger ties in the field of sports,” he said.

‘The reintegration of the Turkish Cypriot people’

He added that “by developing shared cultural spaces such as exhibitions, concerts, opera, and performing arts, we can enhance the cultural dialogue among our artists”, and that “by bringing together our entrepreneurs, businesspeople, and researchers, we can create new opportunities in the fields of trade, investment, the digital transformation, and innovation”.

On this front, he said that “the Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus, with its higher education resources, young workforce, tourism potential, and strategic location in the eastern Mediterranean, has the capacity to make significant contributions to these collaborations far exceeding its population and land areas”.

“In this context, we are ready to act with the goal of being an economic, scientific, and cultural bridge between the Turkic world and the eastern Mediterranean,” he said.

He then added that “the fundamental goal of all these efforts is to strengthen peace, stability, and cooperation on the island of Cyprus and in the region”.

“Our approach is clear. The reintegration of the Turkish Cypriot people into the world and the search for a solution in Cyprus are not mutually exclusive, by rather processes which reinforce one another,” he said.

To this end, he said that he will “continue to work for a fair and lasting solution on the island in close consultation with the Republic of Turkey”.

“We want the eastern Mediterranean to become a region where mutual respect, inclusive cooperation, and common prosperity, not tensions and exclusionary policies, prevail,” he said.

The day’s summit was, however, somewhat overshadowed by the absence of Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev, who elected not to travel to Ankara amid deteriorating relations between his government and Turkey, once his country’s closest ally.

On the surface of the matter is a rift which emerged following Azerbaijan’s decision to ban the wearing of headscarves at public schools in the country – a move which infuriated Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan to the extent that he criticised Baku during his speech to the UN general assembly last month.

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Warren Buffett hasn't had a drink of water in 50 years. At least, that's what he told Bill Ackman.

Warren Buffett is a longtime fan of Cherry Coke.
Warren Buffett is a longtime fan of Cherry Coke.

Daniel Acker/Bloomberg via Getty Images

  • Warren Buffett once told Bill Ackman over dinner that he hadn't had a glass of water for five decades.
  • Ackman recounted the story on a podcast this week discussing his relationship with the investing legend.
  • Buffett, 96, famously drinks five cans of Coke a day and lives on fast food and sweet treats.

Warren Buffett hasn't had a glass of water since at least the 1970s.

That's what the 96-year-old business icon once told Bill Ackman, the billionaire hedge fund manager recalled during an episode of the Equity Mates Investing podcast that aired this week.

Ackman said that Buffett came over for dinner at his home "years ago," and he'd made sure to stock up on the legendary investor's favorite drink, Cherry Coke.

The Pershing Square founder and CEO said that once they were sitting at the table, he asked Buffett whether he'd like still or sparkling water. Buffett politely declined, opting for his preferred soda instead.

"But I said, you know, 'Don't you drink water?'" Ackman recalled. "And he said, 'Bill, I haven't had water in 48 years.'"

Ackman didn't immediately respond to a request for more detail about Buffett's hydration habits.

Not drinking water might sound unbelievable, but Buffett — who retired as Berkshire Hathaway's CEO after 60 years in charge last December, and as the company's chairman this September — is famous for drinking five cans of Coke daily.

He quipped in 2015 that he was "one-quarter Coca-Cola," as it accounted for 25% of his daily calories.

Buffett's love of soda goes back decades. During Berkshire's 1986 meeting, he declared that after "48 years of allegiance" to Pepsi, he was switching to Cherry Coke, saying it would be the meeting's official drink going forward.

Coca-Cola has also been one of Buffett's landmark investments. Berkshire hasn't touched its roughly 9% stake in the beverage giant since it finished building it in the mid-1990s. The position cost about $1.3 billion and was worth around $28 billion at the end of December — a roughly 21-fold gain.

Coke is only part of Buffett's iconic diet. He's known for grabbing McDonald's for breakfast on his drive to work, and munching on hot dogs, fries, popcorn, cookies, candy, ice cream, and other comfort foods.

His love of fast food and sweet treats extends to his investments. Berkshire counts See's Candies and Dairy Queen among its subsidiaries, and Kraft Heinz among its largest stock holdings.

Buffett's childlike tastes have led to issues in the past, including a disastrous sushi dinner in Tokyo.

Bill Gates and his then-wife, Melinda, went to great lengths to ensure the investor didn't starve when he joined them on a 17-day trip to China in 1995.

They organized for their hotel's chefs to be taught how to prepare hamburgers and fries, and when they climbed the Great Wall, they made sure to have Cherry Coke waiting for Buffett at the top.

Read the original article on Business Insider

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Reddit is going logged-in only. Blame Google AI Overviews.

reddit logo
Reddit's Google search-fueled traffic bonanza has come to an end.

Kirill KUDRYAVTSEV / AFP via Getty Images

  • Reddit announced it will be going logged-in only (with some caveats).
  • This comes after Reddit's search traffic has fallen, as people use AI more and more.
  • But in 2024, Reddit had a search traffic bonanza after cutting a deal with Google.

Reddit announced on Thursday that it will soon start being a (mostly) logged-in-only experience, citing declining search traffic as one of the reasons. Redditors, who are famously level-headed and open to change, reacted about how you would expect.

In an earnings call, CEO Steve Huffman said that Google's AI Overviews "are not traffic drivers"," and that "Google has really shifted in their relationship with the rest of the internet."

It wasn't so long ago — June 2024 — that I wrote an article with the headline "Reddit's traffic is way, way up. Like, banoodles up."

Things have changed a lot in those two short years!

Here's what happened back in 2024. Reddit was going public, and just made a deal with Google to license gazillions of posts for Google's AI training. Reddit's search traffic was also way, way up.

It saw a 39% increase in traffic from May 2023 to May 2024, according to web analytics firm Similarweb. This was a time period where other social companies saw much slower growth (and Facebook even slightly declined). Much of that was because of Google search traffic.

But that was 2024. People were only tentatively trying out these newfangled AI services like ChatGPT as a potential search replacement. Google had just launched its AI Overviews in search results in May 2024, and they didn't seem very useful — it told people to put glue in their pizza, after all.

Fast forward to 2026, and people are much more comfortable using AI services like ChatGPT instead of Googling. You can ask Muse to shop for the best air conditioner for you and even make the purchase. Google AI overviews have gotten way, way better, making it so you rarely have to actually click on a website to get your answer. Thanks to all this, search traffic has tanked across the entire internet. Plenty of publishers talk about "Google Zero," bracing for Google referral traffic to fully bottom out.

Reddit, even with the deal it cut with Google, is experiencing the truth that search traffic is easy come, easy go.

Huffman said in a letter to shareholders said that search traffic was "down meaningfully in Q3," and that in October it dropped by over 1 million referrals per week on average, and if the trend continued, it could see "a low-double-digit percentage from our current base of 130 million" daily active unique visits.

It's not all bad news, though. Reddit reported $895 million, which was an increase of 53% year-over-year. Its focus is on the logged-in user experience, which is more lucrative for advertising, since users can be more targeted. In the earnings call, Huffman noted that 80% of Reddit's monetization happens with app users and logged-in users.

There's something sad about Reddit becoming a semi-closed system; the end of an era of the open web — something that Reddit helped pioneer (and its co-founder Aaron Swartz was passionate about).

On Reddit, Huffman posted a message addressing the change to users: "I don't know about you, but as someone whose life has been defined by the open internet, it's a big change for me. But I've come to the conclusion that this is the right decision for our platform and the right decision for our business."

Read the original article on Business Insider

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‘The Diary of a CEO’ says it’s getting tougher on health misinformation after criticism

NEW YORK, NEW YORK - OCTOBER 08: Steven Bartlett speaks onstage during Shark Tank Stars And Showrunner In Conversation: Season 18 Highlights Screening And Talkback at 92NY on October 08, 2026 in New York City. (Photo by Natasha Moustache/Getty Images)
Steven Bartlett is fact-checking "The Diary of a CEO" but leaving his interview style unchanged.

Natasha Moustache/Getty Images

  • Steven Bartlett's "Diary of a CEO" has been fact-checking health and science episodes following a BBC probe.
  • The show uses pop-ups to provide more context during the show, and research reports go deeper.
  • There are weaknesses to its approach: the reports are long and dense, while the pop-ups are limited to video.

The top producer of the hit podcast "The Diary of a CEO" says the show has raised its bar for accuracy, an effort that began after a BBC investigation found it had shared harmful health misinformation.

"We're being more rigorous than we have in the past," Hans Sahni, the executive producer for "DOAC," told Business Insider. "That bar gets higher and higher every day."

The BBC reported in late 2024 that 15 of 23 health-related episodes contained an average of 14 potentially harmful claims.

A core part of "DOAC's" accuracy effort is fact-checking its guests. The show began its own fact-checking about six months after the BBC report. The team runs every episode through an AI-assisted review using Claude, Gemini, and Consensus. It also hired an independent medical Ph.D. researcher to review its health and wellness episodes.

Sahni said the show is putting every new episode through this process, and has fact-checked 71 episodes with the Ph.D. researcher. That amounts to about 13% of the 540 long-form interviews in its YouTube catalog. Sahni said the team is exploring the idea of fact-checking previously published episodes.

"DOAC's" fact-checking effort shows how independent creators are acting more like traditional media companies as they grow their audiences and attract the interest of big advertisers, who want their ads to run in brand-safe environments. Health and wellness have become particularly fraught topics, as many creators — including major stars like Joe Rogan — have been criticized for not pushing back against fringe views espoused by some of their guests.

"DOAC" host Steven Bartlett has come under more scrutiny as his megaphone has grown. "DOAC" has about 21 million subscribers on YouTube and regularly ranks as the top business podcast on Spotify. Bartlett recently told Fortune he projects the show will make $60 million this year from sponsorships and other sources.

In the video version of "DOAC" on platforms like YouTube and Spotify, when contested or complex topics arise, the show displays temporary pop-ups called "DOAC Community Notes" to rebut a guest or provide additional context. These are the result of the internal team's review or collaboration between the researcher and the show's team, who make the final call on what to put on screen.

The decision is based on the stakes of the claim, how strongly it's challenged by scientific literature, and what context is useful to the viewer in the moment — with an emphasis on fewer, higher-value interruptions.

The audio version doesn't have community notes, but information shared by the guest is cut if the team determines it to be inaccurate. An extensive fact-checking research document is linked in the show notes.

Sahni said the show's guest-booking and research teams have also become more disciplined in evaluating potential guests.

LONDON, ENGLAND - JUNE 20: Andrew Huberman attends healf.HX26 Served by smoov at The Store Studios, 180 Strand on June 20, 2026 in London, England. (Photo by Jeff Spicer/Getty Images for smoov)
Andrew Huberman has been called out for promoting unapproved peptides.

Jeff Spicer/Getty Images for smoov

'DOAC's' approach has its limits

Angie Drobnic Holan, director of the International Fact-Checking Network, a Poynter project, applauded the show for making an effort to provide more accurate and contextual information.

"I would like to see more podcast hosts presenting information in context," she said. "The bigger the audience, the bigger the responsibility, especially when there's risk for harm."

Holan saw some limitations to "DOAC's" approach, though.

She said the sourcing on the Community Notes was unclear to viewers, as was who wrote the research briefings. She questioned whether the audience would read them, given that they're long and dense and don't present clear takeaways. The research documents often run upward of 80 pages. "DOAC" said it didn't have reliable user data on readership but was looking at getting that measurement.

Holan suggested that, overall, it's better to vet guests beforehand and have the interviewer fact-check the guest as they go.

Sahni said "DOAC" isn't a news program and doesn't present itself as such. At the same time, the show has a responsibility to the audience, he added.

Sahni said his team is working to improve the fact-checking process based on audience feedback and to expand its scope. For example, some viewers have said the pop-ups disappear too quickly or that there are too many of them.

The team uses Consensus, an AI research platform, in the fact-checking process and is exploring the use of its Consensus Meter, a visual feature, on-screen.

Figuring out how to present the same info on audio as on video without interrupting the listening experience is another hurdle. Right now, audio listeners can access the research document, but there's no audio equivalent of the on-screen pop-up.

NEW YORK, NY - FEBRUARY 25: Michael Breus attends the 2012 Health and Happiness Summit at Radio City Music Hall on February 25, 2012 in New York City. (Photo by Eugene Gologursky/WireImage)
Michael Breus is a prominent sleep researcher.

Helen Healey/NBC via Getty Images

Pop-ups challenged guests on drug and science claims

"DOAC" has had ample opportunity to put its fact-checking to work. Bartlett recently interviewed neuroscientist and podcaster Andrew Huberman, who's been called out for promoting unapproved treatments.

Throughout the interview, which has over 8 million views, occasional pop-ups challenge Huberman's medical claims, especially about peptides and weight-loss drugs.

Huberman said his sleep improved after he took the peptide pinealon. A 20-second pop-up appeared that read in part, "Evidence from human clinical studies remains limited."

Another pop-up read, in part: "Interest in peptides has surged, particularly for weight loss and skin health, but many marketed products are not FDA-approved and lack strong evidence from human clinical trials."

When Huberman calls the weight-loss drug Retatrutide "amazing" and says people lost about one-third of their body weight on it, a pop-up cautions that the drug remains under investigation and isn't FDA-approved.

In an episode with sleep specialist Michael Breus that has 13 million views, Breus said 75% of the reason for insomnia is anxiety and depression. The research doc said insomnia has multiple contributors.

When aging researcher David Sinclair recommended eating a Brazil nut a day for its selenium, a pop-up warned that excessive intake can cause toxicity.

"There's a tension between having a provocative guest and presenting the most accurate information we possibly can," Sahni said. "We're always going to lean toward being as accurate as we feel we can be. We're not journalists. None of us are and don't purport to be the news."

Read the original article on Business Insider

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Batman de Londres: quem é o vigilante mascarado que distribui boas ações na capital britânica?

Uma misteriosa figura mascarada vem chamando a atenção por toda a capital britânica ao realizar atos aleatórios de bondade. O chamado Batman de Londres conquistou um grande número de seguidores nas redes sociais ao aparecer em diversos locais para pagar o combustível de estranhos, tapar buracos nas ruas e até vender o doce Freddo pelo preço antigo de 5 centavos.

Após semanas de especulações, a BBC Londres foi convidada para um encontro secreto com o vigilante. O convite trazia apenas hora e local, levando a equipe a um beco deserto onde a figura finalmente surgiu. Ao ser questionado sobre suas motivações, o mascarado afirmou que qualquer um pode ser um herói e que seu objetivo é mostrar o lado bom da cidade em tempos difíceis.

Teorias sobre a identidade secreta

O mistério sobre quem está por trás da máscara tornou-se tão popular quanto as próprias boas ações. Muitos internautas acreditam que o homem fantasiado seja o YouTuber Niko Omilana, conhecido por vídeos de pegadinhas e por campanhas políticas anteriores em que também costumava tapar buracos nas ruas.

Apesar de Omilana ter enviado uma mensagem de voz à BBC negando ser o herói, as suspeitas continuam. O criador de conteúdo Roy Patrick declarou acreditar que ainda pode se tratar do influenciador ou de alguém enviado por ele, destacando que as teorias da conspiração em torno do caso movimentam a curiosidade do público.

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Sam Altman says he has ‘empathy’ for mathematicians who are upset about AI

Sam Altman looks during an interview
OpenAI CEO Sam Altman said the AI giant is sorting through how to continue research while making sure those in specialized fields "get the best version of the future that they can have."

Minh Connors/Bloomberg via Getty Images

  • OpenAI CEO Sam Altman is conflicted about how AI models are changing fields like mathematics.
  • Altman said that he had some "sadness and melancholy" when he saw what OpenAI's models could do.
  • Prominent mathematicians have blasted AI companies for pursuing some of the field's most complex problems.

OpenAI CEO Sam Altman said he feels conflicted about OpenAI solving some of math's biggest problems.

"As I said, I don't think it was bad for AI," Altman told Stripe President John Collison during an episode of "Cheeky Pint" that was released on Thursday. 'And I think, on net, the world deserves to understand how the universe works. But I do have empathy for the method."

A number of prominent mathematicians have blasted AI companies for pushing frontier models to solve some of the most complex math problems. OpenAI pulled out of a Caltech "math hackathon" after current and former Caltech mathematicians and others in the field said the event was "likely to have destructive impacts for the mathematical community."

Separately, 28 Fields Medal winners published their own open letter, warning that "the push by AI companies to solve mathematical problems as a benchmark is detrimental to the science of mathematics, and to the mathematical community."

OpenAI received considerable attention after announcing that its models had solved a 90-year-old, unresolved problem related to the Navier-Stokes equations, a set of formulas that predict how liquids and gases move. The Clay Mathematics Institute had offered $1 million to anyone who could determine whether those formulas would always behave as we would expect in the physical universe, part of a series of difficult mathematical questions known as the "Millennium Problems." OpenAI said that its AI models found an example where the equations do not, and end up with a "singularity" where a vortex starts spinning infinitely quickly.

Altman said OpenAI is "working through" how to continue scientific research while also making sure those in highly specialized fields "get the best version of the future that they can have."

"I would like to figure out a way to do this that is as sensitive to the communities that have driven these fields forward for centuries as we can," he said, adding, "It's a hard thing."

Collison tried to assuage Altman's feelings, reminding the OpenAI CEO that "the longshoremen union weren't happy about the port automation."

Altman said part of the reason he feels differently about the whole experience is based on an OpenAI Slack channel that was named "Model Name-Hold My Beer" after the meme about if you think this is crazy just wait. (He did not explain if this was a released model or not.)

"People were just throwing that at the hardest problems they could," Altman said. "And people didn't think the model was going to do these things."

The AI model tackled "people's hardest research problems from their academic career." Altman said he was so excited, "I couldn't go to bed."

In addition to the euphoria, he said other feelings set in.

"I also had much more sadness and melancholy, and a feeling of something ending than I was expecting," Altman said.

The OpenAI CEO said it was "beautiful" that any mathematician could solve even the most formidable problem if only they worked hard enough. Altman said AI is changing that equation.

"I mean, certainly, most mathematicians never solve a Millennium Prize problem," he said. "But the idea that you might be able to."

Read the original article on Business Insider

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Darline Graham Is ‘a Little Nervous.’ Can She Keep South Carolina’s Senate Seat Red?

Polls show the sister of the late Senator Lindsey Graham in a virtual tie with her Democratic opponent, Dr. Annie Andrews. An upset was unthinkable just a few months ago.

© Win Mcnamee/Getty Images

Senator Darline Graham, is in a final, nail-biting week of campaigning against Dr. Annie Andrews, her Democratic opponent.
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Holguin to meet Christodoulides in latest round of contacts

UN envoy for Cyprus Maria Angela Holguin is currently in Cyprus and will be meeting with President Nikos Christodoulides on Friday at 12.30pm.

Holguin will also be meeting with Turkish Cypriot leader Tufan Erhurman on Monday, and hold a tripartite meeting with both Christodoulides and Erhurman on November 9.

On Tuesday, Christodoulides said both he and Erhurman had agreed to make “no further statements” on matters of substance related to the Cyprus problem ahead of Holguin’s trip.

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‘Wicker’: una empanada de (necesario) feminismo, sociología y sexualidad de tres al cuarto

Las tradiciones paganas británicas y celtas en torno al mimbre se basan en el misticismo de la madera de sauce y proceden, entre otras fuentes de las antiguas Grecia y Roma, del geógrafo Estrabón, a principios del siglo I, que describió un coloso de paja y madera frente al que se colocaban seres humanos y animales antes de ser quemados, y de La guerra de las Galias, de Julio César, en el siglo I a. C., que contó cómo los antiguos druidas construían gigantescas efigies con ramas de mimbre y las rellenaban con hombres vivos como sacrificio para sus dioses.

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Wicker

Dirección: Alex Huston Fischer, Eleanor Wilson.

Intérpretes: Olivia Colman, Alexander Skarsgard, Elizabeth Debicki, Peter Dinklage.

Género: fantasía. Reino Unido, 2026.

Duración: 105 minutos.

Estreno: 30 de octubre.

💾

©

Alexander Skarsgård y Olivia Colman, en 'Wicker'.
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El perfume de Aitana que cuesta 510 euros: cómo es Amouage, la firma que confirma el ‘boom’ de los olores ultraexclusivos

Aunque Aitana Ocaña ya cuenta con sus propios perfumes en el mercado y es el rostro internacional de Libre, de Yves Saint Laurent Beauty, al subir un vídeo a su canal de YouTube, las miradas más atentas han descubierto que la fragancia por la que ella apuesta es otra. Se trata de Guidance 46, de Amouage, una casa de alta perfumería reconocida por crear algunos de los perfumes más exquisitos. “Fundada en el Sultanato de Omán en 1983 por la familia Albusaidi con el propósito de ser ‘el regalo de los reyes’, la firma ha redefinido el arte árabe de la perfumería y ha ganado renombre a nivel mundial por aportar una modernidad innovadora y una auténtica maestría artística a todas sus creaciones”, explican en la web del perfume, que está disponible a la venta en Isolée por 510 euros.

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© Europa Press News (Europa Press via Getty Images)

La cantante Aitana durante una actuación en Barcelona.
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Retired Israeli general on what the election results tell us

Israel is facing political uncertainty after an election that produced no clear governing majority. But what do the results reveal about how Israelis want leaders to confront the country's challenges? Nick Schifrin discussed that with Tamir Hayman, former chief of Israeli military intelligence and current executive director of the Institute for National Security Studies.

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