Dutch-Belgian supermarket group Ahold Delhaize has confirmed that malicious activity was responsible for the cybersecurity incident that disrupted its operations across Europe and the United States, forcing the company to take websites, applications and other computer systems offline.
In an official statement issued on Monday, 19 October, the company announced that it had filed a formal complaint with Dutch police and was cooperating with national cybersecurity authorities. Although physical supermarkets have remained open, the disruption has affected online shopping, deliveries and some distribution operations.
The company said investigators had so far found no evidence that sensitive information belonging to customers, employees or business partners had been taken. However, its investigation remains open, and the identity and objectives of those responsible have not been publicly established.
Online services interrupted across several countries
The disruption began on 12 October, when Ahold Delhaize detected suspicious activity within its information technology infrastructure.
The group responded by taking a number of systems offline as a precaution, affecting most of its retail brands in Europe and the United States. The consequences varied considerably between businesses, with some experiencing prolonged interruption to digital services while others were able to restore operations more quickly.
Albert Heijn, the Netherlands’ largest supermarket chain, has been particularly affected. Its website and mobile application have returned online, but home grocery deliveries are not expected to resume until Friday, 23 October.
Orders scheduled before that date have been cancelled, while the company continues preparations for a gradual restoration of its online delivery service.
The incident also interrupted some supply and distribution arrangements, resulting in shortages on supermarket shelves in parts of the Netherlands and Belgium.
In Belgium, Delhaize has restored its online shopping operations. Certain promotional and personalised services were still experiencing difficulties, although the parent company confirmed that its Belgian e-commerce business was operational again.
Dutch retailers Etos and Gall & Gall have also restored their websites. Meanwhile, several American supermarket brands owned by Ahold Delhaize have continued to experience service interruptions.
The group said it expected additional online services in the United States to become available over the coming days.
Dutch authorities investigate
Ahold Delhaize said it notified the Netherlands’ National Cyber Security Centre within 24 hours of detecting the malicious activity.
The company has subsequently provided updates to the authorities and, on Monday, confirmed that a formal police report had been submitted.
Chief executive Frans Muller defended the decision to shut down digital systems, arguing that the investigation had demonstrated the necessity of taking preventive action.
The company has not identified the perpetrators, confirmed whether ransomware was involved or disclosed the technical method used to gain access to its infrastructure.
These distinctions are important because malicious activity does not necessarily establish that information was stolen or that attackers obtained control over every system subsequently taken offline.
The retailer has instead described a controlled restoration process intended to ensure that affected systems can be brought back into operation without exposing the business to further risks.
Ahold Delhaize operates thousands of supermarkets and related retail businesses, including Albert Heijn, Delhaize, Food Lion, Giant Food, Hannaford and Stop & Shop.
Its geographical reach means that a disruption originating within shared corporate infrastructure can affect several national markets, even where individual retail chains maintain separate commercial operations.
Cybersecurity becomes a supply-chain concern
The attack comes amid increasing scrutiny of the vulnerability of European food retailers to digital disruption.
Earlier this month, investigators in France began examining cyberattacks against refrigeration control systems used by hundreds of supermarkets.
Those incidents reportedly affected equipment at chains including Carrefour, Intermarché and Monoprix, with some retailers forced to discard products after refrigeration systems malfunctioned.
There is no established connection between the French incidents and the attack affecting Ahold Delhaize.
Nevertheless, both episodes illustrate the dependence of modern retail operations on interconnected digital systems supporting stock management, refrigeration, logistics, payments and customer services.
The consequences of a serious cyber incident can extend beyond the loss of access to websites. Interruptions to inventory systems, warehouse operations or communications with suppliers can affect the availability of physical products.
This creates particular difficulties for food retailers, where delays in transport and storage can result in the loss of perishable goods.
European regulatory implications
The incident also draws attention to the European Union’s NIS2 cybersecurity framework, which establishes stricter risk-management and incident-reporting obligations for organisations operating in designated sectors.
Food production, processing and distribution are among the activities covered by the directive, although its application to particular companies and operations depends on the relevant legal definitions and national implementing arrangements.
The legislation requires organisations within its scope to establish appropriate cybersecurity protections, address supply-chain risks and notify competent authorities of significant incidents.
Separately, the General Data Protection Regulation establishes notification requirements where personal-data breaches meet the relevant reporting threshold.
Ahold Delhaize’s statement that it has found no evidence of sensitive data being taken does not conclude the technical investigation, but it means that a confirmed theft of personal information should not presently be presented as a fact.
For the company, the immediate challenge remains restoring online services while maintaining normal supermarket operations. The wider commercial consequences, including the cost of the interruption and its effect on sales, have not yet been quantified publicly.
A cyberattack affecting approximately 700 supermarkets in France has exposed serious weaknesses in the digital systems used to control commercial refrigeration, raising concerns about the vulnerability of European food distribution networks and other essential infrastructure.
The attack began overnight on 11–12th October, when intruders gained access to remotely managed refrigeration equipment and altered operating settings, causing refrigerators and freezers to overheat.
Stores belonging to several major supermarket chains were affected, including Intermarché, Netto, Coopérative U, Carrefour and Monoprix. Some were forced to discard substantial quantities of fresh and frozen food.
French Finance Minister Roland Lescure confirmed that approximately 700 of the country’s 10,000 supermarkets had been affected, although the severity of the disruption varied between locations.
The Paris prosecutor’s office has opened an investigation into the attack, including the damage caused by destroyed merchandise and reported fires.
The incident has drawn attention to industrial control systems that are routinely connected to the internet but may receive less cybersecurity protection than corporate networks and customer databases.
Refrigeration systems remotely manipulated
Investigators have established that refrigeration equipment was targeted through vulnerabilities associated with remote monitoring and control systems.
Some of the affected systems used older equipment that no longer received regular security updates.
According to information released by the companies and cybersecurity specialists, certain industrial controllers had been accessible through public internet connections, creating opportunities for unauthorised access.
Hackers reportedly manipulated defrost cycles and increased temperature settings, preventing equipment from maintaining the cold conditions required to preserve food.
The attack affected approximately 300 Intermarché and Netto stores, while Coopérative U reported disruption at around 80 outlets.
Several retailers managed to contain the damage, but others lost substantial quantities of stock.
The consequences extended beyond malfunctioning equipment. Businesses faced the cost of replacing spoiled food, repairing refrigeration systems and restoring normal operations.
The precise financial damage is still being assessed, although estimates from the retail sector indicate that losses across France could amount to tens of millions of euros.
Vulnerabilities in connected equipment
The incident illustrates the security problems created by the growing use of internet-connected industrial equipment.
Modern refrigeration installations allow contractors and maintenance specialists to monitor temperatures, adjust settings and diagnose faults remotely.
These arrangements can reduce operating costs and improve efficiency, but they also create additional access points that attackers may exploit.
Cybersecurity specialists have identified vulnerabilities in commercial refrigeration platforms manufactured by Danfoss and Copeland.
The manufacturers subsequently addressed identified flaws, although older or unsupported equipment remained a concern.
A critical problem for businesses is that industrial machinery often remains operational for many years after its original software has become obsolete.
Replacing entire refrigeration installations can involve substantial expense and operational disruption, encouraging operators to retain equipment that may no longer meet contemporary cybersecurity standards.
The risks are particularly difficult to manage when responsibility for maintenance, software updates and network security is divided between retailers, equipment suppliers and external contractors.
France’s delayed cybersecurity legislation
The attack has renewed scrutiny of France’s implementation of the European Union’s NIS2 Directive, which is intended to strengthen cybersecurity across sectors providing important economic and public services.
Its scope extends beyond traditional critical infrastructure such as energy, telecommunications and transport to include certain businesses involved in food production, processing and distribution.
EU member states were required to incorporate the directive into national legislation by 17 October 2024.
French cybersecurity specialists have since warned that delays have complicated efforts to establish consistent obligations for organisations operating industrial and commercial systems.
However, NIS2 does not automatically cover every supermarket. Its application depends on the nature and size of an organisation and the provisions of national implementing legislation.
The incident therefore raises questions not only about the pace of legislative implementation but also about the practical protection of equipment already in use.
Wider implications for European infrastructure
The disruption demonstrates how a cyberattack can cause physical damage without directly targeting a conventional industrial facility.
Unlike breaches intended to steal customer information, the French incident interfered with machinery responsible for preserving essential products.
The distinction is important for European policymakers, who increasingly face threats to infrastructure that combines digital controls with physical operations.
The European Union’s cybersecurity agency ENISA has organised cross-border exercises to test how authorities and companies would respond to disruption affecting essential services.
The attack itself has been established, but responsibility for it has not been publicly attributed.
French authorities have said there is no immediate threat to national food supplies. Nevertheless, the destruction of merchandise and interruption of ordinary retail operations have demonstrated the potential economic consequences of weaknesses in relatively commonplace equipment.
The continuing investigation must establish how access was obtained, which systems were compromised and whether the vulnerabilities were known to operators before the attack.
For Brussels and national regulators, the case provides a practical test of whether European cybersecurity legislation can translate into effective protection for the connected equipment on which ordinary commercial activities increasingly depend.
Andy Burnham has announced "big changes" to welfare to get one million NEETs back into work – but only once he's "rebuilt the education system". Sounds expensive, says Mary Gilleece. It’s clearly never going to happen.
With little more than two weeks to go until the midterm elections, it seems increasingly possible that the Democrats, already a big favorite to win control of the House of Representatives, will also take charge of the planet's most elite nursing home, the United States Senate, where the median age is 64 years old. RealClearPolitics' poll aggregator has moved control of "the world's greatest deliberative body" (as its members are grandiosely wont to call it) to "toss up," status and prediction markets are now breaking big toward a blue wave. As of this writing, Kalshi has its Senate odds at 63 percent for the Dems vs. 37 percent for the GOP; Polymarket is at 62 percent vs. 39 percent.
As gratifying as it might be to see unprincipled Trump enablers reduced to minority status after signing off on economy-wrecking tariffs, inhumane immigration detentions, and wars of choice, there's at least one good reason to dread a Democratic majority too: Sen. Elizabeth Warren, the Massachusetts progressive who is spending the run-up to the midterms freaking out over possible consolidation in the condiments business and accusing private equity firms of gutting such shopping-mall favorites as Claire's and Toys R Us. There's every reason to believe that a Senate run by Warren and other economic interventionists will waste time, money, and resources trying to prevent a world in which, per the X wag Iowahawkblog, "a panopticon conglomerate owns two brands of hot sauce."
On October 13, Warren posted this dire warning to X:
Hellmann's mayo McCormick spices Cholula hot sauce Frank's RedHot
What do these products have in common? One company could soon control them all.
I have concerns that McCormick and Unilever's $45 billion merger could increase YOUR grocery prices.
It's hard to think of a more competitive and varied market than the one for hot sauces, which is expected to more than double over the next decade. The barriers to entry are generally low, as are the key ingredients, and new entrants can easily market and sell online, avoiding the costs of buying shelf space in conventional supermarkets. Yet Warren is urging regulators at the Department of Justice and the Federal Trade Commission to halt mergers of both product makers like McCormick and Unilever and grocery stores like Kroger and Giant Eagle.
The latter complaint is particularly picayune. Kroger is one of the country's largest supermarket chains, operating around 2,800 stores under its own name as well as Harris Teeter, Ralph's, and others. Giant Eagle operates about 170 stores. This merger is no more the stuff of nightmares than a single company producing both Cholula and Frank's RedHot. If Warren gains more clout from being in the majority, expect her to butt in more and more on such mergers.
Making it harder for businesses to adapt is not a recipe for making goods and services more affordable. But Warren is keen to blame economic creative destruction not on "new forms of industrial organization that capitalist enterprise creates" (as Joseph Schumpeter would have it), but on pure greed. In a TikTok released earlier this month, she shows a poster board with corporate logos from once-thriving companies that she says have been "gutted" by "private equity" firms.
"Here's your local mall," she piously intones. "Now, private equity wants you to believe that Red Lobster went bankrupt because of their endless shrimp….They want you to believe that Claire's went bankrupt because teens stopped shopping at the mall." In Warren's telling, private equity firms magically take over thriving businesses and then strip them bare. The typical pattern is that private equity enters the picture after a business is failing.
Virtually all accounts of the decline of, for example, Red Lobster, note that the chain had been spiraling for several reasons before the private equity firm Golden Gate Capital got involved in 2014. As this CNN article notes, the chain, which started in 1968, had seen drops in sales as customer desires changed. Management compounded the difficulties with a series of bad decisions, including continuing various all-you-can-eat menu specials, before coming out of Chapter 11 bankruptcy last year.
Similarly, it's true that some teens still go to malls and get their ears pierced at Claire's. But anyone who has spent time in retail America over the past few decades knows that malls are no longer the destination that they once were. As CapitalOne Shopping Research documents, "in 1986, there were 25,000 malls, large and small, nationwide." By 2023, that number had shrunk to just 1,200. While some malls are coming back, most are not, and for reasons that have nothing to do with private equity. Online retails plays a role (though a smaller one than usually imagined, with e-commerce accounting for less than 20 percent of all retail sales). But mostly, it's that people today tend to want a different sort of retail environment. Anchor stores—think Macy's and J.C. Penney—are shadows of themselves, and younger people have less unstructured time in which to prowl food courts and arcades.
For politicians like Elizabeth Warren, though, there can be no financial gains or losses that aren't the result of shadowy, conspiratorial forces. If her party takes control of the Senate, her words will carry more weight. But it will be American consumers that ultimately shoulder the burden of an even-more-regulated economy. The market for hot sauces will almost certainly stay spicy, but many other parts will surely suffer.
Difference between French and German borrowing costs widens after public buildings burned and shops looted
France has been hit by a fresh wave of selling in its bond and stock markets after violent protests over the weekend led to thousands of arrests and left public buildings burned and hundreds of shops looted across the country.
The chaos has spooked investors as analysts worried that it would undermine Paris’s efforts to cut spending and reduce its debt.
Christine Lagarde says rising government borrowing costs are tightening financial conditions across the eurozone, complicating efforts to contain inflation without undermining economic growth.
European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde has warned that a sharp sell-off in government bonds is tightening financial conditions across the eurozone, threatening to weaken economic growth at a time when European governments are already struggling with mounting debt and higher energy prices.
Speaking during the International Monetary Fund’s annual meetings on Saturday, 17 October, Lagarde said rising bond yields were imposing additional pressure on the European economy, potentially reducing demand and helping to bring inflation down.
Her comments came as investors demanded higher returns on government debt across major developed economies, reflecting concerns about persistent inflation, widening budget deficits and the substantial borrowing requirements associated with investment in artificial intelligence.
The development presents a complicated situation for the ECB, which has already raised its key interest rate twice this year in response to renewed inflationary pressure following the conflict in the Middle East.
Higher government bond yields effectively tighten monetary conditions even without a further decision by the central bank to increase official interest rates.
Bond markets tighten financial conditions
The latest sell-off has pushed borrowing costs higher across Europe, although the pressure is particularly acute in countries with large public debts and persistent budget deficits.
When investors sell government bonds, their market prices fall and yields rise. Those higher yields eventually feed into the costs of borrowing for governments, businesses and households.
Lagarde indicated that financial conditions had become tighter than assumed in the ECB’s September economic forecasts.
According to her latest assessment of the bond market, the resulting slowdown in demand could help moderate inflation, but would also place additional pressure on an economy whose growth prospects remain limited.
The ECB’s September projections forecast eurozone economic growth of just 0.9 per cent in 2026, followed by 1.4 per cent in 2027 and 1.5 per cent in 2028.
Inflation was expected to average 3.0 per cent this year before declining to 2.5 per cent in 2027 and 2.1 per cent in 2028.
Those forecasts were based on assumptions about financial conditions and energy prices that may no longer fully reflect developments in international markets.
France faces particularly acute pressure
France has emerged as one of the most vulnerable major eurozone economies because of its high public debt, persistent deficits and political disagreements over fiscal consolidation.
French government bond yields have risen sharply as investors question whether Paris can deliver the spending reductions required to stabilise its finances.
As EU Today reported earlier this month, eurozone finance ministers have been pressing France to produce a credible budget that would restore confidence in the country’s fiscal position.
The borrowing premium demanded on French debt relative to German government bonds has also widened, reflecting investors’ concerns about the financial outlook and the political difficulties surrounding the 2027 budget.
The IMF has warned that continued increases in borrowing costs could eventually force the French government to undertake more substantial fiscal adjustments.
In its assessment of French bond yields, the Fund said the immediate pressures remained manageable, partly because France benefits from established debt markets and relatively long borrowing maturities.
Nevertheless, persistently elevated yields would increase the cost of refinancing government debt as existing bonds mature.
The wider concern is that higher borrowing costs could reduce the room available for public investment and other expenditure across several European economies simultaneously.
IMF warns governments over rising debt
Lagarde’s intervention coincided with renewed warnings from the IMF about the sustainability of European public finances.
In its latest European economic assessment, the Fund argued that governments must either accelerate economic growth or reduce borrowing to prevent debt burdens from becoming increasingly difficult to manage.
The IMF expects eurozone growth of approximately 1.1 per cent in 2026 and 1.2 per cent in 2027, with continuing pressure from energy costs, demographic changes and weak productivity.
The European Commission’s forecasts indicate that eurozone government debt could rise from 88.7 per cent of GDP in 2025 to 91.2 per cent in 2027.
The IMF has also identified structural weaknesses, including barriers within the European single market, which restrict investment and productivity growth.
These problems are becoming more difficult to address as European governments face demands for greater defence expenditure, infrastructure investment and support for industries affected by higher energy prices.
ECB faces difficult interest-rate decision
The ECB has already increased its deposit rate to 2.5 per cent following successive increases in June and September.
As EU Today reported after September’s decision, the central bank has been attempting to contain inflation generated by rising energy costs without causing a more substantial economic slowdown.
The IMF now expects at least one additional quarter-percentage-point increase before the end of 2026.
Such a decision would bring the deposit rate to 2.75 per cent, although the ECB has not committed itself to that outcome.
The challenge is that tighter monetary policy would coincide with financial restrictions already being imposed by bond markets.
At the same time, higher energy prices continue to affect household purchasing power and business operating costs.
In her statement to the International Monetary and Financial Committee, Lagarde acknowledged that the eurozone had proved more resilient than expected, while warning that risks to growth remained tilted to the downside and risks to inflation to the upside.
The duration of the Middle East conflict, developments in energy markets and changes in investor confidence will be important in determining the economic outlook.
For the ECB, a bond-market slowdown could reduce the need for further interest-rate increases by weakening demand. But if energy-driven inflation remains elevated, the central bank may still face pressure to tighten policy.
Europe’s governments, meanwhile, have considerably less control over the borrowing costs demanded by international investors.
The next ECB interest-rate decision will therefore take place against an increasingly difficult combination of sluggish growth, persistent inflation and financial markets imposing their own constraints on public and private borrowing.
Russia has placed five foreign-owned businesses under compulsory administration, including Belgian manufacturer Ontex and French flooring group Tarkett. The latest seizures deepen the confrontation over sanctions, frozen Russian assets and the future of European investment in Russia.
Russian President Vladimir Putin has ordered the transfer of five Western-owned businesses into compulsory Russian management, extending a campaign of asset seizures targeting European companies that continued operating in Russia after the full-scale invasion of Ukraine.
The decree, signed on 15 October, affects businesses with combined annual revenues exceeding 53 billion roubles, approximately €530 million. They include French flooring manufacturer Tarkett, Belgian hygiene products group Ontex, German packaging producer Menshen, Kappa Rus and Eviosys Packaging Kuban, now linked to American group Sonoco.
Under Presidential Decree No. 738, operational control has been transferred to Centre Capital, a little-known Moscow company established in February 2026 with registered share capital of just 10,000 roubles.
The decision follows similar interventions against Nestlé, Auchan, FM Logistic and Metro in September. Together, the measures demonstrate how Moscow is using foreign-owned businesses as instruments of economic retaliation against countries supporting Ukraine.
Foreign businesses placed under Russian control
Centre Capital is headed by Marat Mirkhaydarov, a former senior official in Russia’s Zabaykalsky region who reportedly served with the Akhmat military formation during Russia’s war against Ukraine.
The scale of the companies placed under his management contrasts sharply with the financial standing of the administrator.
Tarkett’s Russian operations generated approximately 19.3 billion roubles in revenue during 2025, while Kappa Rus recorded 16.5 billion roubles and Ontex RU another 10.3 billion. Eviosys Packaging Kuban and Menshen Packaging CIS reported approximately 6.1 billion and 1.4 billion roubles respectively.
The decree does not formally transfer ownership of the companies to Centre Capital. It does, however, remove the foreign shareholders’ effective control over management, operations and commercial decisions.
For Belgian manufacturer Ontex, the consequences are immediate.
In an official statement issued on 16 October, the Aalst-based company confirmed that a government-appointed administrator had assumed operational control of its Russian subsidiary.
Ontex Russia employs approximately 350 people, operates a manufacturing facility in Noginsk and maintains a sales office in Moscow. The subsidiary accounts for around five per cent of the group’s total revenue and between seven and eight per cent of adjusted EBITDA.
The company said it was examining measures to protect its assets and maintain business continuity.
Tarkett likewise confirmed that it was losing effective control of its Russian operations.
A mechanism established in 2023
The legal framework for such interventions dates to April 2023, when Putin introduced Decree No. 302, allowing the Russian authorities to place assets associated with countries designated as unfriendly under temporary external management.
The appointed administrator can exercise extensive ownership-related powers, although the formal right to dispose of the assets remains excluded.
Crucially, the arrangement can be terminated only by presidential decision. There is no automatic deadline for returning operational control to the original owners.
Moscow maintains that the measures are reversible. Nevertheless, the loss of management authority raises questions about whether businesses could eventually be returned with their financial position, organisational structure and commercial value intact.
The Kremlin’s approach also serves domestic economic objectives. Keeping factories, retail networks and distribution facilities operating under Russian management helps preserve employment, production capacity and established supply chains.
At the same time, appointing Russian administrators allows the authorities to exercise greater influence over businesses originally developed through foreign capital, technology and expertise.
European companies caught in sanctions confrontation
Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov has explicitly linked the seizures to the nationality of the affected companies and the policies of their governments.
He accused European states of participating in the unlawful seizure of Russian property through sanctions and financial restrictions.
Moscow’s argument centres partly on approximately €210 billion in Russian sovereign assets immobilised in the European Union, most of them held through Belgium-based securities depository Euroclear.
The European Union has used extraordinary revenues generated by those assets to support Ukraine, while further proposals involving the underlying funds remain subject to legal and political debate.
Belgium has been particularly concerned about potential financial exposure and legal claims. As EU Today reported in September, a Belgian Council of State judgment raised additional questions about the administrative procedures governing certain frozen assets.
Moscow’s treatment of European businesses adds another dimension to this confrontation. By retaining control over foreign-owned industrial and commercial assets, Russia possesses a means of exerting pressure on companies whose governments support sanctions and military assistance to Ukraine.
The implications are particularly serious for Western banks that still maintain substantial Russian operations.
Austria’s Raiffeisen Bank International and Italy’s UniCredit remain exposed to Russia through local subsidiaries. Any extension of compulsory administration to financial institutions could create additional difficulties involving deposits, capital and banking supervision.
The cost of remaining in Russia
The seizures also expose the financial risks faced by Western companies that delayed their withdrawal after February 2022.
Many initially sought to protect their investments, employees and commercial infrastructure. Others reduced operations but retained ownership, expecting that conditions might eventually permit an orderly sale or renewed business activity.
Russian restrictions have progressively complicated that calculation, requiring foreign investors from designated countries to accept substantial discounts on asset sales and obtain official approval for transactions.
Companies remaining in the country now face the additional possibility that the government will appoint administrators without their consent.
The consequences extend beyond the businesses immediately affected. Russia is establishing a precedent under which foreign investment can remain legally owned by its original shareholders while its economic benefits and operational management are placed beyond their control.
For European governments, the latest decree illustrates the increasing connection between commercial interests and geopolitical decisions.
The Kremlin has demonstrated that sanctions imposed over its invasion of Ukraine can be answered not only through diplomatic or financial measures, but also through direct intervention in European-owned businesses operating on Russian territory.
Any eventual negotiation over sanctions relief and the restoration of economic relations will consequently have to address the status of these assets, the rights of their original shareholders and the question of compensation.
Until then, Western companies remaining in Russia face an investment environment in which the ultimate authority over their businesses rests increasingly with the Kremlin rather than their shareholders.
Endless illegal immigration, unaffordable energy, draconian speech policing – we're being conditioned to accept outrageous things as normal, says Nick Rendell. Now add to that economic crashes.
EU finance ministers have approved a compromise that would expand the European Securities and Markets Authority’s powers while exempting some major trading venues from centralised oversight. The agreement reflects continuing resistance to transferring financial supervision from national authorities to Brussels.
European Union finance ministers have reached an agreement to expand centralised supervision of financial markets, but Germany has secured provisions allowing important parts of Deutsche Börse to remain under national oversight, substantially narrowing the European Commission’s original reform proposals.
The compromise, agreed at a meeting in Luxembourg on 9 October, would transfer responsibility for supervising selected trading venues, clearing houses and securities settlement institutions to the European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA).
However, the agreement introduces exemptions and thresholds that reduce the number of institutions automatically subject to direct European supervision.
The result is a significant political compromise between governments seeking deeper financial integration and those reluctant to surrender oversight of nationally important market operators.
Berlin secures its exemption
The most contentious element of the negotiations concerned Deutsche Börse, the German financial-market group that operates the Frankfurt stock exchange and provides trading, clearing and other financial infrastructure services.
Germany opposed arrangements that would place all major market operators under direct ESMA supervision, arguing that institutions with predominantly domestic activities should continue to be regulated nationally.
The agreed compromise refines the criteria for determining which trading venues qualify for centralised oversight.
These conditions allow certain Deutsche Börse operations to remain outside the new supervisory regime.
The exemption had already become a point of contention during negotiations among European governments.
As EU Today reported in June, Berlin had sought to protect Deutsche Börse from mandatory European supervision despite Germany’s broader support for integrating EU capital markets.
The October agreement formalises a narrower approach within the Council’s negotiating position, although the legislation remains subject to approval by the European Parliament.
Europe’s fragmented financial markets
The European Commission has repeatedly argued that fragmented national supervision weakens the EU’s ability to compete with financial markets in the United States.
Although the Union operates a single market, many financial institutions continue to face differing regulatory interpretations, procedures and supervisory relationships across member states.
These differences can increase operating costs and discourage financial businesses from expanding across borders.
The Market Integration and Supervision Package is intended to simplify those arrangements and strengthen common oversight of financial infrastructure with significant cross-border activity.
Under the Council’s position, ESMA would assume direct supervision of selected trading platforms and institutions involved in clearing and securities settlement.
Such institutions perform essential functions in financial markets, including managing transactions, transferring securities and controlling risks between counterparties.
Differences in supervisory arrangements can complicate the operation of financial services that increasingly function across national borders.
The Commission argues that greater consistency would allow European capital to move more efficiently between member states and provide businesses with improved access to investment.
Compromise reduces original ambitions
The Commission’s original approach envisaged broader centralisation of supervisory responsibilities.
The Council agreement of 9 October introduces more restrictive criteria governing the institutions that would fall under ESMA’s direct authority.
In addition to the treatment of trading venues, ministers agreed that direct supervision of crypto-asset service providers should initially concentrate on businesses with the most significant cross-border operations.
The Council also supported changes to ESMA’s governance arrangements, including the creation of a full-time executive board.
The proposed board would strengthen the authority’s ability to make supervisory decisions independently of individual national regulators, while preserving mechanisms for cooperation with those authorities.
The compromise also introduces arrangements allowing national supervisors collectively to challenge certain decisions.
These provisions reflect concerns about concentrating regulatory powers within an institution that must oversee financial businesses operating under different national legal systems.
Why capital markets matter for European investment
The supervision reforms form part of the EU’s broader Savings and Investments Union initiative.
European policymakers want to increase the availability of private capital for companies investing in technology, defence, infrastructure and industrial development.
The Union has substantial household savings, but much of that money remains in bank deposits or is invested outside the European economy.
Companies seeking capital for expansion may consequently face higher financing costs or more limited investment opportunities than comparable businesses operating in larger and more integrated markets.
Financial-market supervision represents only one element of that programme.
Differences in taxation, insolvency law, national investment products and corporate governance requirements also influence where investors allocate their money.
Nevertheless, regulators regard consistent supervision as an important condition for reducing fragmentation.
Parliament faces a political decision
The agreement reached by finance ministers does not conclude the legislative process.
The European Parliament must adopt its position before negotiations can determine the final provisions.
Parliamentary discussions could revisit the exemptions secured by Germany and the criteria determining which institutions fall under direct ESMA supervision.
The debate will expose differences over whether European financial integration should proceed through incremental reforms or a more substantial transfer of regulatory authority.
Governments supporting national exemptions argue that supervision should reflect the actual geographic scope of a company’s activities.
Supporters of broader European oversight contend that major trading businesses can influence financial markets beyond their home jurisdictions even when individual operations appear predominantly domestic.
The Deutsche Börse exemption has become a prominent example of the conflict between those positions.
Europe’s largest economies broadly support the objective of deeper capital markets, but remain divided over the institutional powers needed to achieve it.
The final legislation will determine whether the expanded responsibilities granted to ESMA are sufficient to reduce fragmentation or leave important parts of Europe’s financial infrastructure operating under substantially different national supervisory systems.
The European Parliament has delivered a sharp rebuke to Ireland’s proposals for the EU’s next seven-year budget, warning that cuts to competitiveness, security and regional development could leave Europe dangerously ill-equipped to confront mounting geopolitical and economic challenges.
The European Union is heading towards a potentially bruising institutional confrontation over its next long-term budget, after senior Members of the European Parliament rejected proposals from the Irish Presidency of the Council to reduce the European Commission’s spending plans by eight per cent.
The dispute concerns the Multiannual Financial Framework (MFF) for 2028–2034, which will determine not merely how much Brussels spends, but the extent to which Europe can deliver on its increasingly ambitious political, economic and security objectives.
At stake is a fundamental question: can the European Union realistically aspire to become a more competitive, strategically independent global power while its member states resist providing the financial resources necessary to achieve those ambitions?
Parliament Draws a Red Line
In a statement published on 10th October, Parliament’s principal budget negotiators, Siegfried Mureșan of the European People’s Party and Carla Tavares of the Socialists and Democrats, firmly rejected the Irish negotiating framework.
They were joined by Danuše Nerudová and Sandra Gómez López, Parliament’s co-rapporteurs responsible for developing new sources of EU revenue.
Their objections centre on the proposed reduction of approximately €141 billion from the Commission’s original spending plans.
Mureșan warned that the reductions would undermine Europe’s ability to respond to growing demands for defence, economic competitiveness and security.
He also highlighted the erosion of the EU budget’s purchasing power, which Parliament estimates has declined by approximately ten per cent because of inflation.
The implication is uncomfortable for national governments: maintaining apparently substantial expenditure figures does not necessarily translate into maintaining Europe’s capacity to act.
Ireland’s Difficult Balancing Act
Ireland, currently holding the rotating Council Presidency, has attempted to reconcile two increasingly contradictory political demands.
On one side stand governments seeking greater investment in defence, technological innovation, economic resilience and geopolitical influence.
On the other are national finance ministries confronting constrained public finances, mounting borrowing costs and electorates increasingly resistant to additional expenditure.
The Irish Presidency’s proposal envisages approximately €1.62 trillion in commitments, expressed in 2025 prices, representing a substantial increase over the existing seven-year framework.
Dublin argues that its negotiating position offers an ambitious but financially realistic compromise, preserving traditional agricultural and cohesion spending while accommodating emerging priorities.
Yet the European Parliament remains unconvinced.
Particularly contentious are proposed reductions of 12.8 per cent in competitiveness expenditure and 17.4 per cent in external action compared with the Commission’s plans.
These are precisely the areas in which Brussels has repeatedly promised greater international influence.
Defence Ambitions Meet Financial Reality
The timing could scarcely be more awkward. Russia’s continuing aggression against Ukraine has exposed Europe’s dependence on American military capabilities, while mounting geopolitical uncertainty has reinforced demands for greater European strategic autonomy.
Meanwhile, competition from China and the United States is placing European industries under unprecedented pressure.
Brussels regularly speaks of technological sovereignty, stronger defence industries and reduced dependence on external suppliers, however, those objectives require sustained investment.
Cutting expenditure intended to strengthen competitiveness while simultaneously demanding that European companies compete more effectively internationally risks becoming an exercise in political contradiction.
Nevertheless, Parliament’s position deserves scrutiny too. Greater expenditure does not automatically produce better outcomes. Europe’s problems with fragmented defence procurement, regulatory complexity and slow implementation cannot simply be resolved by increasing budget allocations.
A credible financial settlement must therefore combine sufficient resources with demonstrably improved efficiency and accountability.
The Battle Over Europe’s Own Resources
Perhaps the most consequential disagreement concerns how the Union should finance its expenditure.
Parliament has repeatedly argued that the EU must develop additional independent revenue streams rather than relying excessively on contributions from national governments.
Its proposals include levies associated with digital services, online gambling and cryptocurrency capital gains. MEPs believe these measures could generate approximately €30 billion beyond the additional revenue already envisaged by the Commission.
The Irish Presidency has advanced a revenue package that it estimates could eventually raise around €55 billion annually, but agreement among member states remains elusive.
This disagreement exposes an enduring weakness in European integration.
Governments frequently demand collective European action while remaining reluctant to surrender control over the financial mechanisms necessary to support it.
A Political Confrontation With Serious Consequences
The institutional arithmetic makes Parliament’s opposition particularly significant. Although member states must unanimously approve the long-term financial framework, the European Parliament must also provide its consent by an absolute majority of MEPs. Consequently, national governments cannot simply impose a settlement over parliamentary objections.
Equally, the European Parliament cannot compel governments to finance its preferred spending programme. Both institutions therefore possess considerable negotiating leverage, raising the possibility of prolonged political deadlock.
The forthcoming European Council discussions on 15–16th October will provide an important indication of whether governments are prepared to reconsider their positions.
Europe’s Credibility Is on the Line
Ultimately, this dispute extends far beyond accounting. The European Union faces an increasingly hostile strategic environment, persistent economic challenges and growing demands for collective action.
Yet its institutional ambitions continue to outpace agreement on the financial commitments required to fulfil them.
Parliament is justified in questioning whether reducing investment in competitiveness and security represents prudent financial management or potentially damaging short-termism. National governments, however, are equally entitled to demand evidence that additional European expenditure will produce measurable benefits.
The solution cannot be unlimited spending, nor can it be indiscriminate austerity. Europe requires a budget that reflects its strategic responsibilities, backed by rigorous financial discipline and transparent political priorities.
Without such a settlement, the Union risks discovering that its greatest obstacle to becoming a serious geopolitical actor is not opposition from Washington, Moscow or Beijing, but its own inability to agree on the price of its ambitions.
The study challenges prevailing views on the evolution of language A new study conducted by Hungarian researchers reveals that dogs can segment continuous speech into words—a capability previously observed only in humans. Hungarian researchers from Budapest have discovered that human speech changes the way dogs’ brains work, even though the animals cannot speak themselves. The […]
The Hittite generals posted in western Anatolia (the Asian part of modern Turkey) did not mince words. They told their king that the territory was surrounded by enemies. They asked for soldiers, horses and war chariots, and warned that without help the army could be destroyed. They also made it clear that they would not […]
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Not because we are better than others, but because we pay attention to RT (formerly Russia Today)—a broadcaster offering exceptional investigative content that, prior to the war in Ukraine (triggered by the 2014 NATO coup—a fact that must always be remembered), maintained newsrooms across Europe.
If you Europeans are able to read about a sensational event almost in real time today, you have Gospa News to thank—and perhaps you might consider making a small donation.
Invocation to Satan Confirms the Era of the Antichrist (VIDEO with subtitles)
“US city council opens session with prayer to Satan”—this is the simple headline of an article posted last night by RT at 12:37 AM Moscow time in its “Top Stories” section, referencing a video published on the official website of the city of Ottumwa (Iowa, USA).
The RT article you are about to read highlights a massive problem—one previously addressed in another Gospa News investigation that proved highly embarrassing for the Catholic Church…
It states that the invocation of Lucifer was permitted under a new law recently passed by the City Council, which allows any faith group to offer a “prayer.”
One member of the assembly had warned of the risk that satanic invocations might occur and voted against the measure.
In the message thatthe visionary of La Salette (France) nun Mary od Cross reported receiving during the apparition of Our Lady (September 19, 1846—approved by the Catholic Church), the imminent Era of the Antichrist was foretold.
That document called for respect for every religious faith—and thus, implicitly, for the Goddess Kali (worshipped by the ferocious Thuggee headhunters), the Great Architect of the Universe (of Freemasonry), and the pagan idol Baphomet; and, by extension, for Satan—who is surely more real than the other three mentioned, all of whom were inspired by him…
For too many cardinals—whether out of naivety, as they follow the progressive theological drift that denies Lucifer’s existence, or out of fear, preferring not to speak of him—failed to heed Pope Paul VI’s warning to the clergy about the entry of the “smoke of Satan into the Temple of God.”
Instead, they approved that document, never imagining that one day they might find themselves confronting Satan worshippers.
Yet the weapons wielded by the wearers of the cardinal’s red and the bishop’s violet seem to have lost their edge, precisely because of the gradual decline in the struggle against the devil and in the practice of exorcism.
This excludes, of course, those members of the clergy who have already crossed the flimsy barricade to serve the enemy—as prophesied in the Marian messages received by Sister Mary of the Cross (born Melanie Calvat), the visionary of La Salette.
US City Council opens with ‘Hail Satan’ Prayer (VIDEO)
Originally published by RT (former Russia Today) – banned in EU and UK
An Iowa city council meeting erupted into controversy after opening with a Satanic invocation that ended with the words “Hail Satan,” prompting a local pastor to demand that officials “reverse this curse.”
Matt Dalbey, an Ottumwa resident and former city council member, delivered the invocation at Tuesday’s meeting (October, 6, 2026) under a policy allowing residents of different religions and belief systems to open council proceedings with a prayer or reflection.
Dalbey began by addressing a “dark father” and invoking what he called the “Luciferian impulse” before concluding: “It is done. Hail Satan.”
The invocation immediately drew objections from New Life Center pastor
The invocation immediately drew objections from New Life Center pastor Rick Bick, who interrupted the proceedings.
“That was a curse put on the city,” he said. “Most of you know that, and we need to just stop and reverse it… ‘Hail Satan’ is not welcome here.”
Mayor Benjamin Foote then called for a 30-second moment of silence “to reflect on whatever it is we need to reflect on at this time.”
Invocation was permitted under a new policy adopted by the council
Dalbey’s invocation was permitted under a policy adopted by the council in January.
The measure states that Ottumwa, a city of some 25,500 people, seeks to respect “the diversity of both organized and unorganized religious denominations, as well as other faiths, belief systems, or the lack thereof.”
Council member Cara Galloway had specifically warned that a Satanic invocation could happen when she cast the only vote against the policy in January.
Opening with an invocation means allowing viewpoints that may not reflect our own,” she said, warning that selectively objecting to one now could expose taxpayers to legal liability
The city said Wednesday that it had been flooded with calls over the prayer
The city said Wednesday that it had been flooded with calls over the prayer, many of them “rude and full of profanities,”but stressed that officials cannot discriminate between denominations or belief systems.
The recording of the meeting had drawn more than 12,000 views on the city’s YouTube channel by Wednesday afternoon, making it the most-watched video ever posted there.
Dalbey is scheduled to deliver another invocation at the council’s November 3 meeting. He told the Ottumwa Courier that the prayer is used by the Satanic Temple of Iowa, of which he is a member, but “has nothing to do with the belief in a satanic deity.”
For more than three centuries, astronomers asking whether the Solar System is stable have received ever more comforting answers. Isaac Newton was not so sure. He suspected that the mutual tugs between Jupiter and Saturn would eventually wreck the planetary order, and that only divine intervention could prevent it. By the late 1700s, Laplace and […]
Em junho de 2025, a CPI das Bets terminou em pizza – como se diz quando uma investigação acaba sem punir ninguém. Mas agora, mais de um ano depois, as empresas que passaram impunes pela comissão estão de volta, desta vez como alvos de uma ação civil pública na Justiça.
No dia 28 de setembro, a Advocacia-Geral da União (AGU) entrou na Justiça Federal em Pernambuco contra 17 empresas ligadas a 20 marcas de apostas online, pedindo ressarcimento de gastos pela União. A Agência Pública cruzou essa lista com a documentação reunida pelos senadores da CPI e descobriu que ao menos 14 delas estavam nos documentos da comissão como remetentes ou beneficiárias de transferências financeiras. Dessas, 12 foram citadas no relatório final. Esse documento, da então senadora Soraya Thronicke (Podemos-MS) – que não foi reeleita neste ano -, foi rejeitado por 4 votos a 3.
Na ação da AGU, o órgão pede que as empresas de apostas ressarcem o Sistema Único de Saúde (SUS) pelo tratamento de apostadores adoecidos, custo que o Ministério da Saúde (MS) estima em, no mínimo, R$ 2,6 bilhões. Pede também R$ 1 bilhão por danos morais coletivos e a devolução em dobro do que as pessoas diagnosticadas com ludopatia apostaram.
Aparecer nos papéis da CPI não indica, por si só, irregularidade. Nem todas as empresas aparecem como suspeitas. A Superbet, por exemplo, surge como titular legítima de uma autorização que outra plataforma teria usado indevidamente. Duas, a OIG e a Ventmear (Sportingbet), estão ligadas a pedidos de indiciamento, todos contra pessoas, não contra as empresas. Seis delas, OIG, Esportes Gaming, NSX, Ventmear, BPX e Foggo (Blaze), somam cerca de 31% do mercado, segundo as contas da própria AGU, e ocupam lugar de destaque nas 541 páginas deixadas por Thronicke.
Muitas siglas: Bets, CPI, MP de Lula e Fux no STF
A ação da AGU veio três dias depois da Medida Provisória 1.394, assinada pelo presidente Lula, que proíbe as apostas de quota fixa, tira as plataformas do ar até 6 de outubro e extingue as autorizações em 30 dias, sem devolver o que as empresas pagaram pelas outorgas. Se o Congresso não aprovar a MP em até 120 dias de tramitação, prazo suspenso durante o recesso parlamentar, ela perde a validade. A CPI já havia ido nessa direção: entre as vinte medidas do relatório derrubado estava a proibição de cassinos on-line, como o Tigrinho.
A Associação Nacional de Jogos e Loterias (ANJL) e o Instituto Brasileiro de Jogo Responsável (IBJR) já apresentaram pedido a Luiz Fux, do Supremo Tribunal Federal (STF), para suspensão dos efeitos da medida provisória.
Nesta segunda-feira, 5 de outubro, a AGU pediu que o STF rejeite a suspensão da Medida Provisória. Na manifestação, assinada pelo advogado-geral Jorge Messias, a AGU sustenta que o marco legal das bets, formado pelas leis 13.756/2018 e 14.790/2023, era “extensamente falho” e falhava em autorização, fiscalização, publicidade e prevenção à lavagem de dinheiro. Para concluir, a peça diz que “o ‘dragão’ era indomável”. O órgão cita dados oficiais segundo os quais os registros no SUS ligados ao jogo patológico cresceram 140% entre 2018 e 2025, e as apostas retiraram R$ 62,5 bilhões dos orçamentos familiares só em 2025. A AGU também pediu que o procurador-geral da República seja ouvido em 72 horas e sugeriu uma nova audiência pública sobre o tema, atualizando a realizada em novembro de 2024.
Como a CPI terminou em pizza
Em 26 de novembro de 2024, Fernando Oliveira Lima, o Fernandim OIG, sentou-se diante dos senadores da CPI das Bets amparado por um habeas corpus. Tinha 33 anos, disse ter estudado até o primeiro ano do ensino médio e se apresentou como empresário de tecnologia, criador de jogos para o Facebook que teriam alcançado 250 milhões de usuários durante a pandemia. Os senadores exibiram dois vídeos e perguntaram se ele conhecia os sites 7Games, R7Games e Betão. Ele conhecia e disse que pertenciam à OIG Gaming Brazil, da qual é sócio. Perguntaram se era dono do “jogo do tigrinho”, mas ele negou. Respondeu que a OIG pagava para oferecê-lo. O empresário contou ainda que, naquela mesma semana, a empresa havia sido uma das primeiras a obter a aprovação completa do Ministério da Fazenda para operar.
A CPI das bets a fez audiência com depoimentos de três representantes de casas de apostas, entre eles Fernando Oliveira Lima, CEO da OIG Group
Fernando não era o único convocado do dia. A pauta listava também João Studart, dono da Betnacional, e Marcus Vinicius Freire de Lima e Silva, apresentado no requerimento como “diretor do Grupo Entain e proprietário do Sportingbet”. Studart faltou e só depôs uma semana depois. Marcus Vinicius não apareceu: na véspera, seus advogados alegaram que ele não fora intimado e que morava no exterior. As três empresas ligadas a eles, a OIG, a NSX (dona da Betnacional) e a Ventmear (operadora do Sportingbet), estão hoje entre as rés da AGU.
Seis meses depois, o relatório final propôs indiciar Fernando, um primo dele e o administrador da OIG, por lavagem de dinheiro e por associação criminosa. Marcus Vinicius e as influenciadoras Virginia Fonseca e Deolane Bezerra estavam entre os alvos de 16 pedidos de indiciamento, mas nenhum deles vingou com a derrubada do texto.
No especial Jogo Perigoso: o Brasil das Bets, a Pública contou os bastidores dessa votação. Votaram contra o relatório de Thronicke os senadores Ângelo Coronel (Republicanos-BA), Efraim Filho (PL-PB), Eduardo Gomes (PL-TO) e Professora Dorinha Seabra (União-GO). Eduardo Girão (Novo-CE), que votou a favor ao lado de Alessandro Vieira (MDB-SE), atribuiu o resultado a uma manobra do Centrão, com senadores que não acompanharam os depoimentos e só apareceram para votar. Thronicke contou à reportagem que passou a andar com seguranças do Senado após receber “recados” e ameaças veladas. Mesmo com a rejeição, ela levou o material às autoridades e diz ter apresentado, desde então, projetos de lei para endurecer o controle sobre as apostas.
O senador Eduardo Girão (Novo-CE) em reunião para apresentação do relatório final das CPI das BETS
Entre os documentos da CPI estava a carta de Vania Borges, que perdeu o filho para as bets, como revelou a Pública.
A apuração também mostra quem atuou na comissão a favor do setor. Ciro Nogueira (PP-PI) foi apontado por colegas como “advogado” de Fernandim OIG, que havia comprado três apartamentos de uma incorporadora da família do senador. Ângelo Coronel justificou o voto pela “falta de tempo” para analisar as 541 páginas do relatório e declarou abertamente ser favorável aos jogos como fonte de receita. O presidente da CPI, Dr. Hiran (PP-RR), foi criticado por não pautar todos os depoimentos aprovados. Os bastidores incluem ainda uma investigação da Polícia Federal sobre um lobista que teria cobrado R$ 50 milhões de empresários do setor para evitar convocações e indiciamentos, acusação sem comprovação oficial. Selfies de senadores com Virginia Fonseca durante o depoimento dela ajudaram a minar a credibilidade da comissão, cujo desfecho um integrante descreveu como “melancólico”.
Ação da AGU se apoia em números do setor
Na Justiça, a AGU seguiu outro caminho. As empresas foram escolhidas por um único critério, o tamanho. A AGU usou as vinte marcas de um levantamento da consultoria Blask, que juntas concentrariam cerca de 80% da receita do setor, e chegou às empresas que as operam, num mercado em que a Fazenda tinha 85 autorizadas em agosto deste ano. A Betano, sozinha, responderia por 21% do mercado. A OIG, com 7Games e Betão, pouco mais de 5%. Para justificar o foro em Pernambuco, a AGU invoca o Código de Defesa do Consumidor e a concentração de população vulnerável no Nordeste.
O país tem 28 milhões de apostadores, 10,9 milhões deles com padrão de risco. Os atendimentos no SUS por jogo patológico cresceram cerca de 140% entre 2018 e 2025. Quase 1,3 milhão de pessoas pediram para serem excluídas das plataformas. No primeiro semestre de 2026, o INSS concedeu 260 afastamentos do trabalho por vício em jogo; em todo o ano de 2022, foram 11, segundo dados obtidos pelo UOL e citados na ação. Pela lei, cabe ao Ministério da Saúde 0,12% da arrecadação do setor, cerca de R$ 50 milhões no último exercício.
A tese é que o dano à saúde mental é inerente ao negócio, e não fruto do desvio de uma ou outra empresa. Por isso, a AGU propõe calcular a parcela das doenças atribuível às apostas e distribuir a conta conforme a fatia de mercado de cada ré. A fórmula vem de um julgamento de 1980 na Suprema Corte da Califórnia, contra fabricantes de um remédio para gestantes, e já foi usada pela Justiça do Rio Grande do Sul contra a Souza Cruz. A ação segue o molde da que a AGU move desde 2019 contra a indústria do cigarro.
A própria peça avisa que a participação no mercado “não constitui presunção de ilicitude”. O relatório de Thronicke, aliás, recomendava ao Ministério Público ajuizar ações civis públicas para indenizar consumidores lesados e já registrava a pressão sobre a rede de atenção psicossocial do SUS, cujos atendimentos por jogo patológico tinham passado de 841, em 2022, para 1.290 no ano seguinte.
A peça da AGU também traz estimativa do Ministério da Fazenda de que, somente em 2025, as apostas tenham retirado cerca de R$ 62,5 bilhões dos orçamentos das famílias brasileiras.
Na sexta-feira, dia 25 de setembro, às vésperas do primeiro turno das eleições, o presidente Lula assinou a Medida Provisória (MP) 1394, que proíbe a atuação das bets no país. A MP é uma vitória, ainda que venha tarde.
É apenas o começo de uma batalha jurídica e regulatória que irá se desenrolar no próximo mandato eleitoral, com papel central tanto do presidente eleito quanto dos demais parlamentares. Afinal, deputados e senadores compõem as comissões mistas que analisam as medidas provisórias, e, para virar lei, uma MP também precisa ser aprovada pela Câmara e pelo Senado.
Que o vício em apostas – a ludopatia – tem um impacto grande na saúde da população, já está estabelecido, tanto em termos psicológicos quanto financeiros. Não são poucos os casos de pessoas que perdem bens materiais, se endividam e quebram relações familiares por causa das apostas.
O marido de uma amiga não tem celular desde o ano passado: foi a condição para que seguissem o relacionamento, depois de ele perder tudo o que tinham guardado e até vender o carro para seguir jogando.
Rafael Borges Amaral, de 26 anos, perdeu a vida na batalha contra a ludopatia. A carta escrita por sua mãe, Vânia de Souza Borges, não foi ouvida pela CPI das Bets, mas alcançou o Brasil e ajudou a levantar a bandeira de muitas outras famílias pela proibição das apostas online.
A saúde das pessoas é muito mais importante do que qualquer impacto econômico. Antes de pensar no PIB ou na arrecadação tributária, é a vida que precisa ser colocada em primeiro plano.
Então, mesmo se proibir as bets fosse ruim para a economia, seria a decisão acertada.
Mas este não é o caso. Para a economia do país, acabar com esses jogos é bastante benéfico.
Isso porque a renda que é absorvida pelas bets não retorna em mesmo volume para a economia do país. Ela é tirada de circulação, em grande parte apropriada pelas casas de aposta, muitas das quais nem no Brasil estão.
Então, além da renda que sai do bolso das famílias e prejudica suas contas diárias, a economia do país como um todo é afetada.
Isso porque, quando alguém vai ao mercado e gasta dinheiro comprando um produto ou contratando um serviço, esse valor retorna em maior escala para a economia. É o que chamamos de efeito multiplicador.
Por exemplo, se eu compro R$ 100 no mercadinho, estes R$ 100 viram a renda do comerciante. Ele, por sua vez, vai gastá-la, o que gera renda para outra pessoa, que também vai gastar, e assim por diante. No final, R$100 viram muito mais em atividade econômica. A roda da economia gira.
Mas, se eu perco estes mesmos R$ 100 num cassino online, este dinheiro não comprou nada, não gerou demanda nenhuma. E a maior parte dele não vai retornar em prêmios, vai ser retida na casa de apostas.
Um estudo conduzido pelo professor Guilherme Klein para o Centro de Estudos de Macroeconomia das Desigualdades da Universidade de São Paulo (Made/USP) dimensionou o impacto das bets nesse movimento.
A conta é a seguinte. O Centro Celso Furtado estimou que, em 2025, houve uma transferência bruta de R$ 62,5 bilhões para as plataformas de apostas. Ou seja, somando tudo o que foi apostado e redistribuído em prêmios, as bets ficaram com mais de 60 bilhões para si.
Com esse número, o professor estimou alguns cenários diferentes, com hipóteses mais ou menos otimistas sobre o papel econômico do setor de apostas, e chegou numa perda total para a economia brasileira de algo entre R$ 90,9 bi e R$ 141 bilhões de reais – ou de 0,7 a 1,1% do PIB do nosso país.
De um terço a metade do crescimento da economia brasileira em 2025. Até cinco vezes mais do que o impacto estimado para o tarifaço americano.
Mesmo quando consideramos o ganho de arrecadação que a regulamentação das apostas trouxe, regular sai mais caro para o país do que proibir. No Estudo do Made, o efeito final é de uma redução entre R$ 14,6 bilhões e R$ 35,6 bilhões na arrecadação de impostos.
Isso sem nem considerar a elevação dos gastos em saúde pública para tratamento do vício em apostas. Conforme o Instituto de Estudos para Políticas de Saúde (IEPS), as bets geram um custo anual para o SUS de R$ 30,6 bilhões.
No fim, a soma do jogo é clara. Com a proibição, ganham as pessoas, sua saúde mental e financeira, e a economia do país. Só perdem, mesmo, as casas de apostas – e os influenciadores que elas remuneram.
Esta reportagem é parte de uma investigação especial da Agência Pública financiada pelos nossos Aliados, sem nenhum dinheiro de bet. Apoie mais reportagens como essa clicando aqui.
Um total de 70% dos parlamentares mapeados pela Agência Pública como integrantes ou aliados da “Bancada das Bets” segue com mandatos no Congresso Nacional até 2030. Dos 17 nomes identificados na investigação como parlamentares que contemplaram interesses das casas de apostas ou foram aliados importantes nas articulações desse mercado, 11 foram eleitos no último domingo (4). Um deles, Romário (PL-RJ), só enfrenta nova disputa por eleitores na próxima disputa para o Senado.
A bancada, que não existe formalmente no Congresso, reúne parlamentares que atuaram em pautas relacionadas à regulamentação, tributação e expansão do mercado de apostas online.
A influência do setor não se restringia à apresentação ou votação de projetos: passava também por conversas diretas com líderes partidários, articulações para alterar propostas em tramitação e encontros com representantes e empresários do mercado, como revelado no especial Jogo Perigoso: O Brasil das Bets.
Entre os 11 parlamentares classificados como nomes de base que, direta ou indiretamente, contemplaram interesses das casas de apostas, sete foram eleitos. Luiz Philippe de Orleans e Bragança, foi reeleito pelo PL em São Paulo. Kim Kataguiri, que mudou do União Brasil para o Missão, também conquistou uma vaga pelo estado. Em Minas Gerais, Weliton Prado foi reeleito pelo PSD com 129.366 votos.
Na Bahia, Adolfo Viana (PSDB) foi reeleito com 119.865 votos e João Bacelar (PL), com 107.232. O outro Bacelar da lista, João Carlos Bacelar Batista, concorreu pelo PV e ficou de fora dos vitoriosos, mesmo obtendo 102.654 votos. Em Roraima, Gabriel Mota (União-RR), conquistou vaga com 10.195 votos. Na Paraíba, Cabo Gilberto Silva (PL) e Hugo Motta (Republicanos), presidente da Câmara, também foram reeleitos.
Dos seis parlamentares identificados pela Pública como “líderes da Bancada das Bets”, além de Motta, outros três foram eleitos: Doutor Luizinho (PP-RJ), Isnaldo Bulhões (MDB-AL) e Felipe Carreras (PSB-PE), que renovaram seus mandatos na Câmara.
Seguem no Congresso
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A atuação dos quatro foi destacada em diferentes momentos da investigação. Luizinho e Bulhões foram identificados como articuladores de iniciativas para impedir aumento da tributação das apostas. A dupla também participou das articulações que retiraram a Cide-bets, contribuição de 15% prevista no debate do PL Antifacção, do texto aprovado pela Câmara. Felipe Carreras, por sua vez, foi descrito por interlocutores ouvidos pela reportagem como um dos principais nomes procurados pelo setor, enquanto Hugo Motta foi citado nas negociações que levaram à retirada da Cide-bets.
Dois dos principais nomes ligados às casas de apostas online, no entanto, ficaram pelo caminho. Ciro Nogueira (PP-PI), que disputou a reeleição ao Senado, terminou em terceiro lugar, com 24,68% dos votos, atrás de Marcelo Castro (MDB) e Júlio César (PSD). O mesmo ocorreu com Ângelo Coronel (Republicanos-BA), que teve 2.898.885 votos, 20,11% dos válidos, e ficou atrás de Rui Costa e Jaques Wagner, ambos do PT baiano.
Além dos dois, três nomes da Bancada das Bets não chegaram a tentar uma renovação de mandato: Jorge Kajuru (PSB-GO), e Irajá (PSD-TO) ficaram fora das urnas e encerram o mandato nos próximos meses.
Saem do Congresso
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Correndo por fora
Nomes importantes dos bastidores da costura desse setor na Câmara, que não compunham diretamente a bancada, mas influenciam nas suas conquistas também tiveram desempenho irregular no pleito de 2026. Arthur Lira (PP-AL) deixou a Câmara depois de mais de uma década e conquistou uma das duas vagas de Alagoas no Senado, com 946.970 votos, 28,87% dos válidos. Rogério Carvalho (PT-SE) foi reeleito senador por Sergipe, com 509.608 votos.
Enquanto isso, Efraim Filho tentou, sem sucesso, a cadeira do governo da Paraíba pelo PL. Já Davi Alcolumbre (União-AP) não chegou a ir às urnas, uma vez que seu mandato no Senado segue até 2030.
Outro lado
À época da publicação da reportagem sobre a Bancada das Bets, procurado pela Pública, Doutor Luizinho afirmou ser contrário aos aumentos de impostos e à extinção das plataformas de apostas online e negou ter recebido qualquer contrapartida de empresas do setor. Felipe Carreras defendeu a regulamentação e a arrecadação sobre as apostas, além da legalização de cassinos, e negou as acusações de que atuaria em favor de empresas do setor. Arthur Lira disse que, enquanto presidente da Câmara, manteve interlocução institucional com diferentes setores sobre a regulamentação das bets e que atuou no exercício regular de suas funções, sem vínculo particular com plataformas de apostas.
Rogério Carvalho, por sua vez, rejeitou a associação com interesses das casas de apostas e afirmou que seu histórico legislativo demonstra atuação em favor da regulamentação e do controle do setor. Ângelo Coronel disse continuar favorável às apostas legalizadas e defendeu a regulamentação como forma de arrecadar recursos para o tratamento de pessoas com problemas relacionados ao jogo. Os demais parlamentares não se manifestaram sobre o assunto.
Esta reportagem é parte de uma investigação especial da Agência Pública financiada pelos nossos Aliados, sem nenhum dinheiro de bet. Apoie mais reportagens como essa clicando aqui.
O tempo é uma das ferramentas mais poderosas de perspectiva. Em apenas um segundo, as plataformas de apostas online ganharam mais dinheiro do que 33 milhões de brasileiros fizeram em um mês no ano passado. Literalmente. Por cada segundo de 2025, as famílias brasileiras perderam para as bets R$ 1.982, mais do que o salário mínimo atual, de R$ 1.621 – uma realidade, por exemplo, de três a cada cinco trabalhadores no Maranhão.
Os dados são do Comitê Nacional de Secretários de Fazenda dos Estados e do Distrito Federal (Comsefaz), que, em agosto deste ano, estimou o esvaziamento do orçamento das famílias em R$ 62,5 bilhões em 2025 – um mercado cuja hora de “trabalho” ficou acima dos R$ 7 milhões. Na política, é justamente o tempo que muitas vezes dita urgência, relativização ou esquecimento.
Por quase uma hora, uma mulher se mantinha encolhida em um sofá na sala do apartamento da família em Uberlândia (MG). Era 25 de setembro. Em silêncio absoluto, cortado apenas por um respiro ansiosamente pesado. O som da TV preenchia o ambiente embalando a mulher, seu marido e sua filha mais velha. Evitavam falar, talvez até se mexer. As próprias vidas em suspenso.
O relógio marcava exatamente 19h07 quando um misto de riso, lágrimas e alívio tomou conta de seu semblante. Na tela, o presidente da República assinava a Medida Provisória (MP) 1.394/25, que proibia não apenas a propaganda, mas o funcionamento das plataformas de apostas em todo o território nacional.
Ao longo dos sete minutos seguintes, viu Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, com quem havia se encontrado dias antes em Brasília, endossar o discurso que ela ajudou a popularizar, ao comparar a jogatina ao crack, e classificar a ludopatia por jogos online como um risco ainda mais invasivo. “O país trouxe o jogo para dentro de casa. O cassino está na sala, o cassino está na cozinha”, disse antes de citá-la “eu conversei com a ‘mãe que perdeu o filho de 26 anos’”. E ela sorriu, sem se incomodar com a alcunha.
“Foi uma sensação de dever cumprido”, resumiu a professora Vânia Borges do Amaral, de 54 anos, emocionada, ao ver sentido em compartilhar o luto de seu filho, Rafael Borges do Amaral, que tirou a própria vida após perder todas as economias acumuladas para as bets. É o mais recente marco na linha do tempo interrompida pela última aposta que o rapaz fez, à 1h48 de 23 de março de 2024 – um novo capítulo de sua história, agora provido de sentido.
Professora Vânia segura a foto de seu filho Rafael
A MP das bets determinou o fim da oferta dos jogos online, tanto em ambientes físicos quanto virtuais, abrangendo concessões federais e estaduais. Loterias tradicionais não foram atingidas pela mudança. Na prática, os sites e aplicativos das empresas devem ser retirados do ar nesta terça-feira (6) e as publicidades, mesmo em outdoors e outros meios físicos devem ser removidos. As multas pelo descumprimento da regra podem chegar a R$ 2 bilhões.
Não há previsão de indenização para as empresas detentoras das 85 outorgas para explorar a atividade legalmente desde 2023 no país. Cada outorga custou cerca de R$ 30 milhões, o que significa um investimento de R$ 2,55 bilhões por parte das companhias para ofertar plataformas reguladas no Brasil – valor quase 25 vezes inferior ao montante gasto pelas famílias em bets apenas em 2025. Estudo da Universidade de São Paulo (USP) estima que as plataformas retiraram R$ 141 bilhões do Produto Interno Bruto (PIB) nacional, enquanto renderam R$ 9,9 bilhões em tributos em contrapartida.
“Eu não imaginava que chegaria a esse ponto, porque quando eu comecei essa luta, eu fui recebida com muito descaso. Primeiro pela Polícia Civil, depois pelo Ministério Público. Eu dei entrada, mas tudo foi demorando tanto… e eu sempre buscando uma resposta que nunca vinha. Eu vi ser instaurada a CPI das Bets e acabar naquela farra. Me gerou muita frustração, muita tristeza. Eu tive a impressão de estar abandonada”, pontuou Vânia sobre testemunhar a proibição, com a qual vinha sonhando há meses. “Eu me senti ouvida”, resumiu.
A história de Vânia e Rafael foi apresentada originalmente pela Agência Pública, que identificou uma carta que ela enviou ao Senado durante a CPI das Bets, em que narra a tragédia familiar. Os impactos da reportagem noticiados até fora do Brasil fizeram parte do especial Jogo Perigoso: O Brasil das Bets, publicado entre maio e julho de 2026 e incluíram dois projetos de lei protocolados na Câmara dos Deputados e o convite da presidência da República para que ela fosse ouvida sobre sua experiência familiar com as apostas online.
A MP 1.394 deve ser apreciada no Congresso Nacional dentro de 120 dias. Enquanto isso, o cronograma previsto na publicação se impõe para as empresas – e para um a cada três brasileiros que faziam apostas regulares nas plataformas. Às 23h59 desta segunda-feira (5), se encerra o prazo para que apostadores retirem os saldos mantidos em suas contas em todos os sites de bets, que saem do ar à meia-noite. Ainda não há certeza se o fim das apostas online será definitivo ou temporário. O futuro, mais uma vez, o tempo há de dizer.
Em setembro, Vânia pediu diretamente ao presidente Lula, em Brasília, a proibição total das apostas online no país
Clandestinidade e Justiça: os desafios além da canetada
Mais de mil plataformas ilegais foram detectadas desde o dia 21 de setembro pela plataforma bet legal, a partir do momento em que a possibilidade de proibição das bets formais ganhou força na imprensa – mais de 700 desde a assinatura da MP 1.394. Mas o campo da ilegalidade, que até então movimentava metade da fatia financeira desse mercado no Brasil, não é o único grande entrave para uma realidade sem apostas online no país.
No Supremo Tribunal Federal (STF) uma grande frente de defesa da atividade de apostas online se formou rapidamente após a proibição das bets pelo governo federal. A Associação Nacional de Jogos e Loterias (CNJL) e o Instituto Brasileiro de Jogo Responsável (IBJR), que representam a maioria das empresas que detinham 85 concessões legais para operar no Brasil, entraram com pedido de suspensão da medida ainda no dia 28 de setembro. Dois dias depois, a Associação de Emissoras de Rádio e Televisão (Abert) fez o mesmo, alegando entre os argumentos “perdas de receita”.
As associações receberam um reforço massivo. Ao menos 20 clubes de futebol entraram unidos para tentar influenciar a decisão do STF. Flamengo e Botafogo pediram para integrar o processo como amicus curiae, uma espécie de consultoria para auxiliar as decisões da Corte com informações e perspectivas a serem consideradas, o que, no caso do Flamengo, já foi aceito.
São Paulo, Guarani, Ponte Preta, Portuguesa e Vitória, por sua vez, pedem um prazo de transição de pelo menos um ano para que a suspensão tenha validade em território nacional, citando a possibilidade de inviabilidade da continuação do Campeonato Brasileiro – cujo nome oficial após acordo de naming rights atualmente é “Brasileirão Betano”, em menção a uma das maiores plataformas de apostas online até então em atividade, o que foi deixado de fora da peça judicial.
Por fim, em outro processo, América, Athletic Club, Atletico Goianiense, Botafogo, Ceará, Chapeconse, Criciúma, CRB, Cruzeiro, Fluminense, Goiás, Juventude, Mirassol, Grêmio e Vila Nova pedem para que a suspensão da MP requerida pelas associações seja deferida e também solicitam que sejam ouvidos no processo. Os clubes brasileiros já haviam emitido publicação conjunta antes da publicação da MP decretando o possível “fim do futebol” em caso de proibição das apostas online.
Segundo levantamento da Bites publicado por O Globo, a publicação conjunta dos clubes provocou uma rejeição de cerca de 90% do público, incluindo de seus torcedores. De acordo com a CNN, os patrocínios dos clubes da Série A variam de R$ 12 milhões a R$ 268,5 milhões. À luz da polêmica, o Senado Federal abriu consulta popular em seu site e até o início desta segunda-feira, 85% dos votantes concordavam com a MP (481 mil votos contra 80,6 mil).
Ao menos 20 clubes ingressaram com processos no STF pedindo a suspensão da MP que proíbe as bets ou prazo de adequação do setor
A judicialização do caso das bets está sob relatoria do ministro do STF Luiz Fux, que já tratava do Marco Regulatório das Apostas de Quota Fixa. Por isso, as ações diretas de inconstitucionalidade movidas pelas partes interessadas na volta das bets coube ao magistrado. Caberá a ele não apenas julgar a MP, mas também se havia urgência suficiente para que uma medida provisória fosse editada, já que há prazos e cenários previstos em lei para o uso desse tipo de recurso. No sábado (3), o magistrado deu um prazo de 72 horas para que o governo federal justifique a necessidade da MP.
Ficou a cargo do ministro do STF Luiz Fux decidir sobre as ações de inconstitucionalidade propostas pelas empresas de apostas online e times de futebol
O ministro Luiz Fux já tem um histórico de posicionamentos quanto às questões dos jogos. Foi ele, por exemplo, que, em dezembro de 2025, mandou suspender parte da norma do Ministério da Fazenda que proibia que beneficiários do Bolsa Família apostassem nas plataformas das bets – o que apenas posteriormente foi confirmado para todos os benefícios sociais. Por outro lado, em agosto deste ano, também foi o ministro que votou para manter os demais jogos de azar como contravenção penal, como a legislação prevê com base em texto legal de 1941 – na ocasião, inclusive, correlacionando as perdas nesses jogos a episódios recorrentes de violência doméstica.
Em uma frente contrária à tentativa de intervenção judicial, que só deve entrar na pauta do Congresso Nacional após o período eleitoral, deve entrar em pauta o Projeto de Lei 5.477/26, proposta pelo governo federal logo após a publicação da medida provisória. O PL criminaliza as atividades de apostas online prevendo multa e de 2 a 4 anos de reclusão para divulgação, oferta de meios de pagamento, captação de usuários e até o desenvolvimento de aplicativos para as bets, além de 4 a 6 anos de reclusão para quem de fato explore as apostas de quota fixa no país.
As penas ainda podem ser agravadas em caso de uso por crianças e adolescentes ou quando o usuário conseguir burlar mecanismos de verificação de idade ou localização. O projeto será avaliado na Câmara e tem que passar pelo Senado antes de ser sancionado.
Rafael faleceu em 2024 aos 26 anos e inspirou projeto de lei na Câmara dos Deputados
“Naquela mesa tá faltando ele”
“Você tá ganhando quanto para fazer tudo isso?”, perguntou uma colega à professora Vânia Borges do Amaral, na semana da publicação da medida provisória que suspendeu as bets. A pergunta foi recebida como uma pancada. “Eu defendo uma causa”, conseguiu responder, sem se alongar.
“Uma colega bolsonarista, né?”, diz Vânia em entrevista à Pública. “Acho que ficou ofendida porque Lula subiu nas pesquisas depois disso [anúncio da MP]”, brinca, ainda magoada. Questionada se não se incomodava em estar sendo usada politicamente, já que sua história foi parar até no guia eleitoral do presidente petista, é categórica: “Eu provavelmente faria o mesmo. Mas tenho confiança de que ele vai ser coerente [e continuar lutando pela proibição]”. O petista avançou para o segundo turno das eleições, marcado para 25 de outubro, em busca de um quarto mandato frente à Presidência da República.
Para lidar com as culpabilizações e ataques nas redes sociais que passou a sofrer desde que sua história ficou conhecida no Brasil e fora dele – e foram muitos –, Vânia teve que reaprender a lógica da audição seletiva, agora do outro lado da equação. Ao longo de três décadas de ensino, a professora enfrentou greves nas redes municipal e estadual de ensino, em Uberlândia, e, longe do papel de protagonismo, convivia com ganhos eventuais e uma tradicional surdez de agentes políticos. Não ser “ouvida” não seria exatamente uma novidade. Colher frutos em escala nacional, isso sim, foge de qualquer histórico.
“A gente nota a diferença, né? Mais confiante, mais positiva…”, comenta a filha, a nutricionista Aline Borges Amaral, 33. “Repercutiu muito a história da minha mãe, então a luta dela não está sendo em vão. Fico muito feliz de ver ela indo à luta, procurando, não abaixando a cabeça, porque a gente sabe que não vai ser fácil essa medida se tornar definitiva”, pontua. A segunda filha, Amanda Borges Amaral, 31, completa: “A Vânia que a gente conhece desde criança é extremamente protetora, não foge de nada e direciona, abre caminhos. E depois de tudo que aconteceu, ela foi perdendo a vontade de viver. E ela foi se recuperando, né?”
As duas irmãs de Rafael fazem aniversário no dia 23 de março, o mesmo dia em que ele faleceu. E esse é um lembrete que não passa batido na longa lista de perdas que a família contabiliza desde 2024.
Eu carrego essa dor, e vou carregar para o resto da minha vida. Aqui, nós fazemos as reuniões aos domingos, sempre fomos uma família muito unida, e sempre que a gente se reúne aqui, talvez eu nem fale isso, mas olho na mesa e ‘falta um, tem uma cadeira vazia’. É dia das mães, outra comemoração… O aniversário das minhas duas filhas é uma data que a gente não comemora mais. Então, é algo difícil de descrever. Por isso, acho que essas pessoas, empresários, influenciadores, elas têm que ser punidas
Vânia Borges do Amaral
Mãe do Rafael
Rafael, segundo a família, não deixou dívidas para os parentes. O caçula vendeu uma moto de R$ 8 mil, se desfez de todas as economias e, nos seus últimos meses, saiu de casa para fugir das tentativas da mãe de salvá-lo, o que incluíam alertas e cobranças recorrentes, “chatices” daquelas que todo jovem rejeita por “saber mais que os pais”. Vânia insistiu o quanto pôde, conjugando todas as vozes e tempos de quem é mãe.
Família vem lidando com ataques digitais desde que a história se tornou pública, mas diz que não irá se calar até que setor de apostas online seja proibido
E fez-se verbo
A professora Vânia é formada em direito e advogou por muitos anos, antes de se dedicar a ensinar português. A luta que encampa vai além da proibição do setor. “Eu tenho provas concretas do porquê Rafael fez isso, tenho gravação, áudio, testemunha, cópias de email, tenho tudo que comprova que ele cometeu suicídio por causa das bets, eu não vou deixar isso assim. Quero que quem provocou essa morte seja responsabilizado”, pontua, devagar, com a calma de quem se acostumou a esperar.
Ela lembra que muitos enriqueceram com o lucrativo negócio que a fez perder o filho, de políticos a influenciadores. “Isso tudo foi construído à custa do sangue de muito inocente”, conclui, a professora e advogada, que promete brigar para levar o caso à esfera criminal e buscar reparação cível pelos danos causados à sua família, uma realidade que os números provam que passam longe de isolada.
O Ministério da Saúde reconhece um crescimento dos atendimentos relacionados a jogo patológico da ordem de 140% entre 2018 e 2025 e estimava que a marca seguisse crescendo mais 104% até 2028, caso a proibição não fosse feita. Segundo o Instituto de Estados para Política de Saúde, os custos anuais associados aos jogos são de R$ 38,8 bilhões, dos quais R$ 30,6 bilhões são apenas para gastos com saúde, incluindo suicídios e tratamentos de depressão.
Até agosto de 2026, 5 milhões de brasileiros estavam impedidos de acessar as plataformas de apostas online, 1,2 milhão por iniciativa própria na plataforma de autoexclusão, 800 mil por renegociarem dívidas no programa Desenrola, que tem uma edição 3.0 para lidar com as consequências das bets a partir da proibição, e outros 3 milhões por receberem benefícios sociais.
No horizonte da família de Vânia, há planos de transformar a luta num livro sobre a morte e vida de Rafael. “Falar sobre um caso assim poderia gerar ataques, chacotas pela situação… a gente sabia disso, porque a pessoa com vício é vista como uma pessoa fraca e não como uma pessoa doente, né?”, resume a filha Amanda.
“A gente falou: ‘mãe, o nosso Rafael infelizmente não volta, mas existem outros Rafaéis’. Não dá pra se calar, né? É um dever com a sociedade que a gente abra a boca e que mostre o grande problema que está todo mundo vivendo e ao mesmo tempo todo mundo com vergonha, pelo julgamento”, completou.
Falar sobre o caso abriu as comportas para uma avalanche de mensagens à família com relatos diários de dificuldades semelhantes enfrentadas em lares brasileiros. Mães, parceiras, irmãs, que se inspiram na luta da professora de Uberlândia para tentar encontrar desfechos outros. E, sem querer, Vânia virou verbo: não se calar para proteger até quem nem se conhece. Vaniemos.
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